New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Prediction 10/4/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The New York Jets and the Chicago Bears meet in week 4 NFL action from Soldier Field on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears prediction.

New York Jets Recap

The New York Jets come into this game looking to bounce back after a 31-24 loss at the hands of Detroit last time out to sit at 1-2 on the year. After this game, the Jets will head home for a game against the Cleveland Browns.

Jets Drop Back-To-Back Games

Geno Smith has thrown for 783 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on 75.5% passing while Breece Hall leads New York in rushing with 163 yards and 1 touchdown through 3 games this season. Braelon Allen sits behind Hall on the ground with 61 yards and 1 TD. Garrett Wilson leads the Jets in receiving with 243 yards and 21 catches along with 2 TDs, while Kenyon Sadiq trails with 143 yards and 12 catches. On defense, Demario Davis has a team-high 22 tackles while New York’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 0 interceptions through 3 games this season.

Chicago Bears Recap

The Chicago Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 27-7 win over Philadelphia last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, the Bears will head on the road for a game against the Green Bay Packers.

Bears Looking To Build Win Streak

Caleb Williams has thrown for 407 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception on 65.5% passing while D’Andre Swift leads Chicago in rushing with 253 yards and 3 touchdowns through 3 games this season. Kyle Monangai sits behind Swift on the ground with 178 yards and 1 TD. Kalif Raymond leads the Bears in receiving with 214 yards and 19 catches along with 1 TD, while Luther Burden III trails with 156 yards and 15 catches. On defense, Dillon Thieneman has a team-high 23 tackles while Chicago’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 3 interceptions through 3 games this season.

New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 13 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Bears have won seven of their last eight games at Soldier Field following a home win.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at Soldier Field following a home win.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last three October games against AFC East opponents.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Bears have lost five of their last six October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Bears’ last five games at Soldier Field.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Bears’ last five games at Soldier Field.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first half in four of their last five games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Week 4 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last eight Week 4 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Bears’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Jahdae Walker has scored a touchdown in three of the Bears’ last four games as favorites.
• Tyson Bagent has recorded 20+ completions in three of his four previous appearances as a starter.
• Rome Odunze has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances.
• Kyle Monangai has recorded 47+ rushing yards in four of the Bears’ last five games as favorites following a win.
• Rome Odunze has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances.
• Heading into Week 4, Kyle Monangai has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (61 vs Panthers, Week 1).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous road appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 247+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 79+ receiving yards in each of his last four road appearances.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four road appearances.
• Heading into Week 4, Garrett Wilson ranks 1st in the AFC for receptions (21) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – eight different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Bears – three different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.

New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears Prediction

I’m on the Jets and the points here. The Bears are primed for a letdown after a win in primetime with their backup QB, while the Jets are a couple of coaching mistakes away from potentially being 3-0 coming into this game. I think the Jets remain competitive here and I think the one game bump for Case Keenum wears off here in a game the Jets are live to win outright. Give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: NY Jets +3.5