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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
New York (3-0) vs Washington (0-3)
September 7, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington -6 — Over/Under: +45.5
The New York Giants and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. This will be the regular-season opener for both teams. Here’s a Giants vs Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Giants vs Commanders pick. We will examine:
The New York Giants recent form and player performance
The Washington Commanders recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Giants
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Commanders
Recent betting trends in games played between the Giants and Commanders
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Giants vs Commanders game
Last year in their 100th season in the NFL, the Giants posted a stinker. New York went just 3-14 overall, landing in the basement of the NFC East. It was the Giants’ seventh losing season in the last eight years and their second consecutive season missing the playoffs. The .176 winning percentage was the team’s worst since way back in 1974.
In their first preseason action of 2025, the Giants played the Buffalo Bills. New York scored in every quarter during that matchup, rolling to a 34-25 win. QB Jaxson Dart threw for 154 yards and a TD on 12-of-19 passing while also leading the rush with 24 yards. In game two versus the New York Jets, the Giants posted another solid outing with a 31-12 victory in the end. Dart had 137 yards and a score on 14-of-16 passing this time, and Tyrone Tracy led the rush with 39 yards. Beaux Collins caught one 80-yard pass to vault to the top of the receivers.
Matched up against the New England Patriots in their final preseason appearance of 2025, the Giants posted 21 points in the third quarter on the way to a 42-10 blowout victory. Tommy DeVito threw for 198 yards and three scores on 17-of-20 passing. Dante Miller topped the rushers on 11 carries for 41 yards and Gunner Olszewski had 68 yards off three receptions.
Over on the Commanders’ side, they posted a big turnaround season in 2024, going 12-5 overall for a second-place finish in the NFC East. That effort would earn Washington a Wild Card slot in the playoffs, and they responded by beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 and the Detroit Lions 45-31 in the first two games. The NFC Championship was a loss to the eventual champion Philadelphia Eagles though, as Washington fell 55-23.
Moving on to the 2025 preseason, the Commanders notched a trio of lopsided losses. First came a 48-18 defeat by the New England Patriots, featuring 173 yards, one TD and one pick by QB Josh Johnson. Ja’Corey Brooks added five catches for 59 yards in that one as well. During game two, Washington took another loss 31-17 versus the Cincinnati Bengals. Johnson logged just 56 yards and a pick this time, and Chris Rodriguez led the rush on 62 yards from six carries.
Game three versus the Baltimore Ravens was another defeat. The Commanders gave up 20 points in the second quarter during a 30-3 loss. Sam Hartman threw for 114 yards and two picks on 12-of-17 passing in the defeat.
The Giants have lost each of their last six games against NFC East opponents.
The home team has won seven of the last eight Week 1 games between the Giants and Commanders.
The Giants have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight season openers as underdogs.
The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
The favorites have won the first half in 10 of the Giants’ last 12 Week 1 games.
The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Commanders’ last three Week 1 games.
The Giants have won six of their last seven Sunday games at Northwest Stadium.
The Commanders have lost three of their last four season openers against NFC East opponents.
The Giants have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games against the Commanders.
The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against NFC East opponents.
The Commanders have lost the first quarter in seven of their last nine September games as favorites.
The Giants have won the first half in six of their last seven road games against the Commanders.
Nine of the Giants’ last 10 September games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Commanders’ last five games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
I’m going to stick with the Giants. That said, I’m probably staying away from New York for a few games until we see what they look like on the field. In any case, the Giants are coming off a nice preseason finale effort versus the Patriots, posting 431 yards (320 passing), 25 first downs, 8-of-14 on third-down tries, 6.6 yards per play and just three penalties. Sure, exhibition games don’t mean anything, but New York scored a combined 107 points over those three outings. That’s nothing to sneeze at, especially for a team that won just three games last year.
The New York Giants recent form and player performance
The Washington Commanders recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Giants
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Commanders
Recent betting trends in games played between the Giants and Commanders
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Giants vs Commanders game
New York Giants Betting Preview
Last year in their 100th season in the NFL, the Giants posted a stinker. New York went just 3-14 overall, landing in the basement of the NFC East. It was the Giants’ seventh losing season in the last eight years and their second consecutive season missing the playoffs. The .176 winning percentage was the team’s worst since way back in 1974.
In their first preseason action of 2025, the Giants played the Buffalo Bills. New York scored in every quarter during that matchup, rolling to a 34-25 win. QB Jaxson Dart threw for 154 yards and a TD on 12-of-19 passing while also leading the rush with 24 yards. In game two versus the New York Jets, the Giants posted another solid outing with a 31-12 victory in the end. Dart had 137 yards and a score on 14-of-16 passing this time, and Tyrone Tracy led the rush with 39 yards. Beaux Collins caught one 80-yard pass to vault to the top of the receivers.
Matched up against the New England Patriots in their final preseason appearance of 2025, the Giants posted 21 points in the third quarter on the way to a 42-10 blowout victory. Tommy DeVito threw for 198 yards and three scores on 17-of-20 passing. Dante Miller topped the rushers on 11 carries for 41 yards and Gunner Olszewski had 68 yards off three receptions.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Over on the Commanders’ side, they posted a big turnaround season in 2024, going 12-5 overall for a second-place finish in the NFC East. That effort would earn Washington a Wild Card slot in the playoffs, and they responded by beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 and the Detroit Lions 45-31 in the first two games. The NFC Championship was a loss to the eventual champion Philadelphia Eagles though, as Washington fell 55-23.
Moving on to the 2025 preseason, the Commanders notched a trio of lopsided losses. First came a 48-18 defeat by the New England Patriots, featuring 173 yards, one TD and one pick by QB Josh Johnson. Ja’Corey Brooks added five catches for 59 yards in that one as well. During game two, Washington took another loss 31-17 versus the Cincinnati Bengals. Johnson logged just 56 yards and a pick this time, and Chris Rodriguez led the rush on 62 yards from six carries.
Game three versus the Baltimore Ravens was another defeat. The Commanders gave up 20 points in the second quarter during a 30-3 loss. Sam Hartman threw for 114 yards and two picks on 12-of-17 passing in the defeat.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
The Giants have lost each of their last six games against NFC East opponents.
The home team has won seven of the last eight Week 1 games between the Giants and Commanders.
The Giants have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight season openers as underdogs.
The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
The favorites have won the first half in 10 of the Giants’ last 12 Week 1 games.
The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Commanders’ last three Week 1 games.
Why the New York Giants will win
The Giants have won six of their last seven Sunday games at Northwest Stadium.
The Commanders have lost three of their last four season openers against NFC East opponents.
The Giants have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games against the Commanders.
The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against NFC East opponents.
The Commanders have lost the first quarter in seven of their last nine September games as favorites.
The Giants have won the first half in six of their last seven road games against the Commanders.
Total Points Facts
Nine of the Giants’ last 10 September games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Commanders’ last five games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Giants vs Commanders Prediction
I’m going to stick with the Giants. That said, I’m probably staying away from New York for a few games until we see what they look like on the field. In any case, the Giants are coming off a nice preseason finale effort versus the Patriots, posting 431 yards (320 passing), 25 first downs, 8-of-14 on third-down tries, 6.6 yards per play and just three penalties. Sure, exhibition games don’t mean anything, but New York scored a combined 107 points over those three outings. That’s nothing to sneeze at, especially for a team that won just three games last year.
