Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 12/14/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Minnesota Vikings and the Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action from AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Here’s a Vikings vs Cowboys prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Vikings vs Cowboys pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Minnesota opened the year on a 3-2 run with wins over the Bears, Bengals and Browns mixed with losses to the Falcons and Steelers. The Vikings came out of their bye week on a 1-6 run over the next seven games, though. The lone win in that time was over the Lions; otherwise it was losses to the Eagles, Chargers, Ravens, Bears, Packers and Seahawks. In their first 12 games that would give the Vikings a 4-8 run overall.

In last weekend’s matchup with the Commanders, the Vikings put up points in all four quarters, rolling to a blowout shutout win 31-0 in the end. QB JJ McCarthy was 16-of-23 for 163 yards and three scores while Aaron Jones paced the rush on 14 carries for 76 yards. Jordan Addison added four catches for 62 yards in the winning effort for the Vikings as well.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

Over on the Cowboys’ side, they stumbled out of the gate this year on a 3-5-1 run. Dallas beat the Giants, Jets and Commanders in that time, tied the Packers and lost to the Eagles, Bears, Panthers, Broncos and Cardinals otherwise. Since their bye week Dallas is 3-1 with wins over the Raiders, Eagles and Chiefs ahead of a loss to Detroit. Over 13 games so far that gives the Cowboys a middling 6-6-1 run this season.

Last Thursday versus the Lions, the Cowboys were down 20-9 by the end of the first half. Dallas would end up limping to a 44-30 loss at Ford Field in the end. QB Dak Prescott finished 31-of-47 for 376 yards, one TD and two picks. Javonte Williams added 17 carries for 67 yards and a score as the team’s leading rusher, and CeeDee Lamb had six catches for 121 yards in the losing effort. Ryan Flournoy added nine catches for 115 yards and a score as well.

Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends: Week 15

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won each of their last nine December games as home favorites.
• The Vikings have lost each of their last nine December games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven December games as road underdogs.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in seven of their last eight December games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in eight of their last nine December games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in four of their last five December road games against NFC East opponents.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last six games in December.
• The Cowboys have lost each of their last two games as favorites without CeeDee Lamb.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games without DaRon Bland.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs without Justin Jefferson.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five games at AT&T Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Vikings have won the first quarter in each of their last six December games against NFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Vikings’ last nine December games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last four Sunday games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• CeeDee Lamb has scored the first touchdown in three of the Cowboys’ last four December games at AT&T Stadium.
• CeeDee Lamb has scored at least one touchdown in six of the Cowboys’ last seven Sunday regular season games as home favorites.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 67+ rushing yards in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 303+ passing yards in four of his last five December home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his four previous home appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in 11 of the Cowboys’ last 13 Sunday regular season games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 15, George Pickens is the only player in the NFL to record 1,000 receiving yards with less than 80 receptions this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances against the Cowboys.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 51+ rushing yards in each of his last six Week 15 appearances.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 76+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against NFC East opponents.
• T.J. Hockenson has recorded 27+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 December appearances.
• J.J. McCarthy has allowed the lowest completion rate of any qualified player (56.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 15, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (255.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (6.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
• Vikings – five different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.

Vikings vs Cowboys Prediction

I’ll lean slightly toward the Cowboys but I’m probably not touching this one. It should be a competitive game at least. Dallas managed 417 total yards in their latest loss to the Lions, adding 25 first downs and 5.5 yards per play. The Cowboys had three turnovers (two picks) however, which really put a damper on the offense. Defensively Dallas gave up 408 yards and 20 first downs without a takeaway. The good news is that the Cowboys have scored well since the bye with 24 or more points in all four games and 30 or more in three of those. They’ve given up 72 points combined over the last two games, though.

As for the Vikings, they demolished Washington last weekend, giving up just 206 yards, 99 pass yards, 12 first downs and 3-of-10 on third-down tries alongside three takeaways. Minnesota had scored a combined six points over the previous two weeks though, and finished below 20 points in four straight (all losses) prior to the shutout win over the Commanders.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dallas Cowboys -6