Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction 12/15/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Dolphins vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Monday, December 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 7-6 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 6-7 ATS, 7-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-3 home record and a 2-3 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 27-22 away win against the Baltimore Ravens and will face the Lions, Browns and Ravens next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 23.7 points per game, ranking 14th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.9 points per game, which is 19th. Pittsburgh averages 284.5 total yards per game (195.2 passing and 89.2 rushing), while allowing 369.3 total yards per game (125.3 rushing and 244 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 2370 passing yards with 65.4% completed passes and 20 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 652, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 52 receptions for 753 receiving yards, and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 109 total tackles (64 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, while Brandin Echols leads the team with 2 interceptions.

Miami Dolphins Preview

The Miami Dolphins have a 6-7 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC East. They are 7-6 ATS, 7-5-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-4 home record and a 3-3 away record. The Dolphins are coming off a 34-10 away win against the New York Jets and will face the Bengals, Buccaneers and Patriots next.

Offensively, the Dolphins average 21.6 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.8 points per game, which is 15th. Miami averages 304.6 total yards per game (178.2 passing and 126.5 rushing), while allowing 334.5 total yards per game (131.9 rushing and 202.6 passing).

Tua Tagovailoa leads the Dolphins with 2407 passing yards with 66.9% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. De’Von Achane leads the team in rushing yards with 1126, while Jaylen Waddle has a team-high 57 receptions for 812 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Jordyn Brooks has a team-high 142 total tackles (81 of them solo), while Bradley Chubb leads the team in sacks, with 6.5, while Rasul Douglas leads the team with 2 interceptions.

Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 15

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won 22 of their last 23 Monday home games.
• The Dolphins have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a win.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last six games at Acrisure Stadium.
• The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in each of their last eight Week 15 road games against AFC opponents.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Steelers have lost each of their last six games against AFC East opponents on a winning streak.
• Tyrel Dodson’s team has won each of its last four games with him playing against Jonnu Smith.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Monday games.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last five Week 15 games as favorites.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine December games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Steelers’ last eight home games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Dolphins’ last six games without Greg Dulcich have gone OVER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Monday games at Acrisure Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 11+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight Week 15 appearances.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC East opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 25+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last eight December games against AFC opponents.
• Jonnu Smith has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 229+ passing yards in each of his last seven Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last seven Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Jaylen Waddle has scored a touchdown in four of the Dolphins’ last five road games.
• Greg Dulcich has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last five games.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 240+ passing yards in each of his last eight appearances following a road win.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 92+ rushing yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four games.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs following a win.
• Heading into Week 15, De’Von Achane ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
• Dolphins – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
• Dolphins – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.

Dolphins vs Steelers Prediction

In this Dolphins vs Steelers Prediction, the Steelers are coming as -3.5-point home favorites. Both teams have similar overall records, but the Dolphins have been in far better form lately, having four consecutive wins and are 3-1 against the spread. On the flip side, the Steelers are 3-5 in their last 8 games and 3-5 against the spread, but have been dominating the Dolphins in Pittsburgh, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings. This game is more of a coinflip and I don’t see any value on the total either, so I will lean towards the team with the home court advantage at this point. Take the Steelers and lay the short number in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5