Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction. This article will include a Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Pick.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins beat the Commanders and Saints, and they play the Steelers next. The Dolphins have won 3 straight games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 2,280 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane have combined for 1,132 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill has 21 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 1,034 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 23.8 points and 345.2 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 137 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 6 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 interception.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets beat the Falcons, lost to the Ravens, and play the Jaguars next. The New York Jets have split their last 6 games. Justin Fields is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 1,259 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Garrett Wilson and Mason Taylor have combined for 713 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 30 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 133.7 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 834 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 26.3 points and 327.3 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 106 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 7 sacks and Brandon Stephens has 8 pass deflections.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Dolphins and Jets.
• The Dolphins have lost each of their last three road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Dolphins have lost the first half in five of their last six Week 14 games.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last six games following a home win.
• Tua Tagovailoa’s team has won each of its four previous games with him playing against Will McDonald.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
• The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Dolphins’ last six games at MetLife Stadium.
• The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last four games as favorites against the Jets.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in four of their last five December games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Dolphins’ last nine road games without Bradley Chubb have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Jets’ last six games without Breece Hall have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last three home appearances as a starter.
• Breece Hall has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Jets’ last four games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 181+ passing yards in each of his three previous home appearances against the Dolphins.
• Breece Hall has recorded 119+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Jets’ last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five appearances with the Jets as underdogs against teams that held a losing record.
• Allen Lazard has recorded 18+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Heading into Week 14, Justin Fields ranks 1st in the AFC for TD:INT ratio (7.00) this season.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his last eight road appearances against AFC East opponents.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 134+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last three games.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 243+ passing yards in each of his four previous appearances with the Dolphins as road favorites against AFC East opponents.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 82+ rushing yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last eight games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of his last six December appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 14, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most solo tackles in a single game this season (15 vs Jets, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 14, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (146.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in interceptions (0) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (2.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in average points scored in third quarters this season (2.3).

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction

The Jets are still competing and playing themselves out of a top pick, but I’m still not excited to get behind them. The Jets are a bad team on both sides of the ball, and you’re basically asking them to win this game outright with the small line. The Dolphins have won 4 of their last 5 games, led by an improved defense and an offense that’s leaned into its running game. The Dolphins are 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games when favorites against the Jets. Mike McDaniel and Tua have also feasted against bad teams over the years. It’s the good teams you have to worry about. I’ll lay the soft number with the Dolphins as they stay in the hunt for another week.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Dolphins -2.5