Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 10/19/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Dolphins vs Browns Prediction for this NFL Week 7 game on Sunday, October 19th at the Huntington Bank Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns have a 1-5-0 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC North. They are 2-4 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 1-2 home record and a 0-3 away record. The Browns are coming off a 9-23 road loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers and will face the Dolphins, Patriots and the Jets next.

Offensively, the Browns average 13.7 points per game, ranking 32nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.3 points per game, which is 21st. Cleveland averages 281.5 total yards per game (190.8 passing and 90.7 rushing), while allowing 262.3 total yards per game (79.7 rushing and 182.7 passing).

Joe Flacco leads the Browns with 815 passing yards with 58.1% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 383, while Harold Fannin has a team-high 28 receptions for 254 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 52 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, while Grant Delpit and Denzel Ward each have one interception.

Miami Dolphins Preview

The Miami Dolphins have a 1-5-0 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC East. They are 3-3 ATS, 5-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-2 home record and a 0-3 away record. The Dolphins are coming off a 27-29 home loss against the Los Angeles Chargers and will face the Browns, Falcons and the Ravens next.

Offensively, the Dolphins average 22.3 points per game, ranking 18th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 29.0 points per game, which is 29th. Miami averages 289.0 total yards per game (197.7 passing and 91.3 rushing), while allowing 389.3 total yards per game (168.5 rushing and 220.8 passing).

Tua Tagovailoa leads the Dolphins with 1213 passing yards with 69.8% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. De’Von Achane leads the team in rushing yards with 390, while Jaylen Waddle has a team-high 29 receptions for 390 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Jordyn Brooks has a team-high 66 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Bradley Chubb leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, while Minkah Fitzpatrick has one interception.

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Dolphins have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the Browns’ last nine Week 7 games.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight October games as underdogs.
• The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in four of their last five October road games against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have won the first half in each of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have won six of their last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Browns’ last eight Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Dolphins’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Jerome Ford has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns’ last four games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Jerome Ford has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Browns’ last five regular season games as favorites.
• Jerome Ford has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last seven games as favorites following a loss.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 279+ passing yards in each of his last four October appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last three appearances with the Browns as favorites.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last three appearances with the Browns as favorites.
• Quinshon Judkins has 383 rushing yards through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2023).

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in nine of the Dolphins’ last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 62+ rushing yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games as underdogs.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 91+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has recorded 23+ receiving yards in three of his last four appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, De’Von Achane is the only player in the NFL to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (13.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (16) this season.
• Dolphins – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Heading into Week 7, the Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (168.5) this season.

Dolphins vs Browns Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, the Dolphins won 20-3 on the road, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Browns, but the Browns are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Dolphins vs Browns Prediction, the Browns are coming as -2.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 40.5 points. Both teams have been bad this season, as they both have a 1-5 record, and Cleveland has the worst offense in the league, with just 13.7 points per game, and I simply cannot back them up as home favorites. Miami has been below average offensively, and both teams score 36 points per game combined, so the only way I am looking into this game, is under the point total, as both teams combined for just 23 points last season. Take the under 40.5 in this one.