Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 10/12/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction. This article will include a Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins Pick.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers lost to the Giants and Commanders, and they play the Colts next. The Los Angeles Chargers have won 6 of their last 8 regular season games. Justin Herbert is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,229 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Quentin Johnston and Keenan Allen have combined for 666 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Ladd McConkey has 21 receptions.

The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 116.8 yards per contest, and Omarion Hampton leads the way with 314 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 19.6 points and 293.8 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 39 tackles, Tuli Tuipulotu has 4 sacks and Donte Jackson has 1 interception.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins beat the Jets, lost to the Panthers, and they play the Browns next. The Dolphins have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 70.7 percent of his passes for 1,008 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill have combined for 560 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while De’Von Achane has 25 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 82.2 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 262 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Miami is allowing 29 points and 386.6 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 57 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 4 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 interception.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Dolphins have won 11 of their last 12 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Chargers have lost seven of their last eight October road games against AFC East opponents.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in five of their last six Week 6 home games.
• The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Week 6 games.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games against AFC West opponents.
• The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last five home games in October.
• The Dolphins have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games against AFC West opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win

• The Dolphins have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Chargers have won each of their last four games following a home loss.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven October games as underdogs.
• The Chargers have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Chargers have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
• The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games against AFC East opponents.
• The Chargers have won the first half in each of their last six games as road favorites against AFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Dolphins’ last 11 games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Chargers’ last eight Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last six Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 83+ receiving yards in four of his last five Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as home underdogs.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last nine Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as home underdogs.
• Heading into Week 6, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the most tackles in a single game this season (18 vs Jets, Week 4).

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Conklin has scored a touchdown in three of his last four appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 281+ passing yards in five of the Chargers’ last six regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 25+ completions in four of the Chargers’ last five regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 24+ rushing yards in five of the Chargers’ last six regular season games.
• Will Dissly has recorded 26+ receiving yards in six of his last seven Sunday appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
• Ladd McConkey has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Chargers’ last six games following a loss.
• Heading into Week 6, Tuli Tuipulotu has recorded the most sacks in a single game this season (4.0 vs Giants, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

• Dolphins – four different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Dolphins – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Chargers – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Heading into Week 6, the Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 points per game (3.4) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

I’m not high on the Chargers, especially after what we’ve seen back-to-back weeks. There’s also the west coast team traveling to the east and having to play an early game. Not getting the warm and fuzzy feeling, folks. However, there’s no way you can back this Dolphins squad with the way they’re playing and the fact they blew a 17-point lead to the Panthers. The Dolphins can’t run the ball and their defense is on pace to be all time bad. News of potential firings are getting louder and louder. It’s all bad in Miami Gardens right now and I’m running away from it all. It’s Chargers or pass for me.