Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos Prediction 12/14/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Green Bay Packers and the Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Here’s a Packers vs Broncos prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Packers vs Broncos pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The Packers were 2-1-1 ahead of an early bye week, tying the Cowboys, losing to the Browns and beating the Lions and Commanders. Green Bay hit a 6-2 run after that, losing to the Panthers and Eagles amid wins over the Bengals, Cardinals, Steelers, Giants, Vikings and Lions in that time. Through 12 games that gave Green Bay an 8-3-1 overall record.

On Sunday versus the rival Bears, the Packers were up 14-3 by the end of the half. Green Bay traded punches in the second on the way to a 28-21 win at home. QB Jordan Love was 17-of-25 for 234 yards, three scores and a pick. Lead rusher Josh Jacobs had 20 carries for 86 yards with a TD and Christian Watson added four catches for 89 yards and two scores as the team’s leading receiver in the win.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Over on the Broncos’ side, they beat the Titans in their opener this year then fell to the Colts and Chargers in consecutive games. Denver hit a nice win streak after that, beating the Bengals, Eagles, Jets, Giants, Cowboys, Texans, Raiders and Chiefs ahead of the bye. Following the open week Denver eked out an OT win over the Commanders. In their first 12 games the Broncos put up a 10-2 run this season.

Matched up against the Raiders last weekend, the Broncos were up 21-7 by the end of the third but had to hang on during a wild final frame in a 24-17 win. QB Bo Nix had a 31-of-38 line for 212 yards and also rushed for a score. RJ Harvey had 17 carries for 75 yards and a TD, while Courtland Sutton had 62 yards off six receptions in the winning effort for Denver.

Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos Betting Trends: Week 15

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last 11 games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Packers have lost each of their last four road games against AFC West opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Broncos’ last nine games.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites without Malik Willis.
• The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between the Packers and Broncos.
• The Packers have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight Week 15 road games against AFC opponents.

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites without Luke Musgrave.
• The Broncos have lost nine of their last 10 December games as underdogs.
• The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last four road games following a Division win.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 15 games as underdogs.
• The Packers have won the first half in seven of their last eight December games as favorites.
• The Broncos have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 15 games at Empower Field at Mile High.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Packers’ last nine games as road favorites following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Broncos’ last eight games in December have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five games as underdogs against teams on a winning streak.
• Bo Nix has recorded 22+ rushing yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven games as underdogs.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Broncos’ last four December games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Bo Nix has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four home games against NFC opponents.
• Courtland Sutton has recorded 62+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games against NFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Broncos’ last five Sunday home games.
• Heading into Week 15, Marvin Mims Jr. ranks 1st in the AFC for punt return yards (394) this season.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last seven games against teams on a winning streak.
• Jordan Love has recorded 234+ passing yards in four of the Packers’ last five games following a win.
• Jayden Reed has recorded 24+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Packers as favorites.
• Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Packers as favorites following a win.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 89+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC West opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 114+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC West opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 19+ completions in four of the Packers’ last five games against AFC West opponents.
• Malik Willis has recorded the equal-most touchdown passes (1) of any player yet to record an interception.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 15, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (30.9%) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Broncos have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Q3 this season (5).
• Packers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
• Heading into Week 15, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (50.6%) this season.

Packers vs Broncos Prediction

I’ll probably stick with the Broncos. That said, given how close they’ve been finishing this year it’s anyone’s guess. Denver eked out another one-score win Sunday versus the Raiders, thanks to a nice defensive effort on 229 yards, 4.8 yards per play, 16 first downs and 3-of-9 on third-down tries allowed. The Broncos offense had 27 first downs and 7-of-12 on third downs on the other side, along with a nice 39:03 in time of possession. Denver has scored pretty consistently over the last trio with 22 or more points in each game, but they’re still cutting it very close on the scoreboard—just like usual.

As for the Pack, they took care of a pretty good Bears team on Sunday with 337 yards, 6.5 yards per play and a very nice 8-of-12 on third downs offensively. The defense gave up just 177 pass yards on the other side with 21 first downs and 8-of-16 on third downs. That makes for straight wins for Green Bay, with 23 or more points scored in each. This will be a tough test for the Broncos.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Denver Broncos +2.5