Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Prediction 11/2/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Broncos vs Texans Prediction for this NFL Week 9 game on Sunday, November 2nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Houston Texans Preview

The Houston Texans have a 3-4 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC South. They are 3-4 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 1-3 away record. The Texans are coming off a 26-15 home win against the San Francisco 49ers and will face the Jaguars, Titans and Bills next.

Offensively, the Texans average 21.9 points per game, ranking 19th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 14.7 points per game, which is 1st. Houston averages 328.7 total yards per game (215.3 passing and 113.4 rushing), while allowing 266.9 total yards per game (88.4 rushing and 178.4 passing).

C.J. Stroud leads the Texans with 1623 passing yards with 66.8% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Nick Chubb leads the team in rushing yards with 321, while Dalton Schultz has a team-high 32 receptions for 308 receiving yards, and no touchdowns. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair has a team-high 42 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Will Anderson leads the team in sacks, with 5.0. Jalen Pitre, Kamari Lassiter and Derek Stingley Jr. each have two interceptions.

Denver Broncos Preview

The Denver Broncos have a 6-2 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC West. They are 3-4 ATS, 3-5 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 2-2 away record. The Broncos are coming off a 44-24 home win against the Dallas Cowboys and will face the Raiders, Chiefs and Commanders next.

Offensively, the Broncos average 25.9 points per game, ranking 10th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 18.9 points per game, which is 5th. Denver averages 356.9 total yards per game (219.1 passing and 137.8 rushing), while allowing 281.4 total yards per game (95.1 rushing and 186.2 passing).

Bo Nix leads the Broncos with 1803 passing yards with 62.8% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins leads the team in rushing yards with 634, while Courtland Sutton has a team-high 37 receptions for 536 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Alex Singleton has a team-high 70 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Nik Bonitto leads the team in sacks, with 8.0. Jahdae Barron, Brandon Jones, Justin Strnad and Dondrea Tillman each have one interception.

Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Broncos have lost 13 of their last 14 road games before a Division game.
• The Texans have won six of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Texans’ last five games.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Texans have won the first half in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last five games.
• The Texans have lost three of their last four games as favorites before a Division game.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games before a Division game.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in four of their last five games in November.
• The Texans have lost the first quarter in each of their last four November games as home favorites.
• The Broncos have won the first half in five of their last six November games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Broncos’ last 10 November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Texans’ last eight games as home favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Nico Collins has scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine home appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Nico Collins has recorded 78+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Texans as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 43+ rushing yards in each of his last 27 appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 232+ passing yards in each of the Texans’ last seven November games.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 30 appearances with his team as a favorite.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Texans’ last five games.
• Heading into Week 9, Jalen Pitre has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Ravens, Week 5).

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Evan Engram has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 76+ rushing yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven games.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven games.
• J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in five of his last six regular season appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 24+ completions in three of the Broncos’ last four regular season games as underdogs.
• Heading into Week 9, Bo Nix ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (2.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (14.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (266.9) this season.
• Broncos – 12 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Heading into Week 9, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in sacks (36.0) this season.

Broncos vs Texans Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2023, the Texans won 22-17 at home, but the Broncos are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.  

In this Broncos vs Texans Prediction, the Texans are coming as -1.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 39.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in good form, as the Texans are 3-1 in their last 4 games and the Broncos are winners of five straight games. I see no value in either side and taking a look at the total, both teams have been elite defensively this season that is why the total is set so low, at just 39.5 points. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 games combined. Houston has scored 26+ points in three of its last four games and Denver has scored 44 and 33 games in its last two. Take the over 39.5 in this one.