Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Cowboys vs Giants prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Cowboys vs Giants pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

Dallas went 3-5-1 over their first nine games this year, tying the Packers alongside losses to the Eagles, Bears, Panthers, Broncos and Cardinals. The Cowboys have since gone 4-3 with losses to the Lions, Vikings and Chargers among wins over the Raiders, Eagles, Chiefs and Commanders. That gives the Cowboys a 7-8-1 overall record so far this season.

In the Christmas Day matchup with the Commanders, the Cowboys turned a 24-10 halftime lead into a 30-23 win after scoring points in every quarter. QB Dak Prescott put up a 19-of-37 line for 307 yards and two scores while Malik Davis had 103 yards on 20 carries. Tops in receiving was KaVontae Turpin with an 86-yard touchdown catch.

New York Giants Betting Preview

Over on the Giants’ side, they could only muster wins over the Chargers and Eagles in their first 13 games before the bye. Otherwise it was losses to the Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, Saints, Broncos, Eagles, 49ers, Bears, Packers, Lions and Patriots. After the bye came two more losses to the Vikings and Commanders, giving the Giants a rough 2-13 overall record.

Matched up against the Raiders last weekend, the Giants scored points in every quarter (including double-digits in two of them) on the way to a 34-10 blowout win. QB Jaxson Dart had a 22-of-30 line for 207 yards and also scored two rush TDs. Tyrone Tracy had 14 carries for 62 yards and Wan’Dale Robinson had 11 catches for 113 yards in the winning effort for the Giants.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Betting Trends: Week 18

Why the New York Giants will win

• The Cowboys have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Giants have won each of their last four January games against the Cowboys.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Cowboys’ last six games.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in three of their last four Sunday games.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the last two games between the Cowboys and Giants.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against NFC East opponents.
• The Giants have lost seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last four Sunday games against starting rookie QBs.
• The Giants have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Giants have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games at MetLife Stadium following a win.
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last four road games against the Giants.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last seven games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Giants’ last 11 games as home underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five Sunday appearances with the Giants as underdogs.
• Jaxson Dart has recorded 191+ passing yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Theo Johnson has recorded 36+ receiving yards in four of the Giants’ last five games against NFC opponents.
• Tyrone Tracy has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Giants’ last six Sunday games.
• Devin Singletary has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Heading into Week 18, Brian Burns ranks 2nd in the NFL in sacks (16.5) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances with the Cowboys as favorites following a road win.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three January appearances against NFC opponents.
• George Pickens has scored a touchdown in five of his last six road appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 294+ passing yards in five of the Cowboys’ last six games.
• Jake Ferguson has recorded 69+ receiving yards in five of his last six appearances with the Cowboys as favorites following a win.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Cowboys as favorites following a win.
• Heading into Week 18, CeeDee Lamb is the only player to have recorded 1000+ receiving yards in each of the last five seasons. (including 2025).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 18, the Giants rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (39) this season.
• Heading into Week 18, the Giants have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Q3 this season (5).
• Cowboys – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Heading into Week 18, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (29.8) this season.

Cowboys vs Giants Prediction

I’ll just stick with the Cowboys. Dallas got a much-needed win on Christmas day versus the Commanders, notching 480 total yards with 211 rush yards, 5.5 yards per play and 28 first downs. The Cowboys held Washington to just 1-of-6 on third-down tries but it was a pretty sloppy game with Dallas committing 11 of the total 21 penalties. The victory halts Dallas’ three-game slide and they’ve got another good shot at a win here.

These teams last met up way back on September 14 in a 40-37 overtime thriller home victory for Dallas. The Cowboys gave up a whopping 506 yards (422 passing) in that one, and it was another sloppy game with 12 Dallas penalties from 26 total flags. I’d like to think that the Cowboys will control this one a bit better, but it may well be another close game.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5