Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction 12/4/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions meet Thursday in NFL action at Ford Field. Here’s a Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Pick.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys beat the Chiefs and Eagles, and they play the Vikings next. The Dallas Cowboys have won 3 straight games. Dak Prescott is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 3,261 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb have combined for 1,886 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Jake Ferguson has 70 receptions.

The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 121.8 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 955 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 28.5 points and 376.2 yards per game. Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the Dallas Cowboys with 70 tackles, James Houston has 4.5 sacks and Donovan Wilson has 2 interceptions.

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions beat the Giants, lost to the Packers, and play the Rams next. The Detroit Lions have split their last 8 games. Jared Goff is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 3,025 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams have combined for 1,590 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Sam LaPorta has 40 receptions.

The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 138.1 yards per contest, and Jahmyr Gibbs leads the way with 1,019 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 22.8 points and 316.2 yards per game. Jack Campbell leads the Detroit Lions with 117 tackles, Aidan Hutchinson has 8.5 sacks and Kerby Joseph has 3 interceptions.

Why the Detroit Lions will win

• The Lions have won each of their last 11 games at Ford Field following a loss.
• The Cowboys have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
• The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at Ford Field following a home loss.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games following a win.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against NFC North opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five games following a home win.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won 12 of their last 13 December games against NFC opponents.
• The Lions have lost 13 of their last 16 December games against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last five Thursday games as underdogs.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Thursday home games.
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last five Week 14 road games.
• The Lions have lost the first half in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lions’ last six December games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ four previous games without Jake Ferguson have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four December appearances with the Lions as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last five games at Ford Field with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• David Montgomery has recorded 39+ rushing yards in 21 of his 22 previous December appearances.
• Jared Goff has recorded 255+ passing yards in each of the Lions’ last six games against NFC East opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last five regular season home appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Jared Goff has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six December appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last eight games as favorites with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• David Montgomery has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 Thursday appearances.
• Heading into Week 14, Jameson Williams ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (5) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last five games as road underdogs against teams that held a winning record.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in five of his last six Week 14 appearances.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 93+ receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 76+ rushing yards in six of the Cowboys’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances.
• Heading into Week 14, Dak Prescott ranks 1st in the NFC for passing yards (3261) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Lions – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Heading into Week 14, the Lions have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 15+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 14, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (6.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (48.4%) this season.

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction

The Lions have bounced back from every loss this season, so there’s still hope for them. The problem is, the Lions are losing games they’ve won in the past, and this just doesn’t feel like the same Lions from recent seasons. The offense isn’t as explosive, the defense has been shaky, and there are a lot of key players on that injury report. The Cowboys have turned things around with three straight wins, which includes back-to-back wins over the two teams that played in last season’s Super Bowl. The offense is humming, and the defense has improved.

I don’t want to write off the Lions just yet, but this does feel like the Cowboys are in better form and have the momentum heading into this contest. The Cowboys have covered 8 of their last 10 games as an underdog, and five of those covers were outright wins. I like the Cowboys to win this one as well. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Cowboys +3