Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction 9/4/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cowboys vs Eagles prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, September 4th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 1 matchup.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys went 7-10 last season and they finished third in the NFC East standings. Dallas started the season with a 3-2 record, but they lost the next five games and dealt with some injuries, which derailed the season. The Cowboys picked up wins against the Browns, Giants (2), Steelers, Commanders, Panthers, and Buccaneers, while they lost to the Saints, Ravens, Lions, 49ers, Falcons, Eagles (2), Texans, Commanders and Bengals. Dallas scored 20.6 points per game last year, which was ranked 21st in the NFL, while they allowed 27.5 points against per game, which was ranked 31st. 

In the preseason, Dallas lost their first two games against the Rams and Ravens by scores of 31-21 and 31-13, but they did beat Atlanta in the finale by a score of 31-13. The Cowboys will be looking for a bounce back season in 2025, which has already started on a poor note with the trade of Parsons. Dallas will have Dak under center with Javonte Williams as the main back and Lamb/Pickens as the first two receivers. Last season, Dallas opened the year with a 33-17 win on the road against Cleveland. 

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles were 14-3 last year and they finished first in the NFC East standings, two games ahead of the Commanders. Philadelphia started the season with a 2-2 record, but they won 12 of their last 13 games in the regular season. Philadelphia got wins against the Packers, Saints, Browns, Giants (2), Bengals, Jaguars, Cowboys (2), Commanders, Rams, Ravens, Panthers, and Steelers, while they lost to the Falcons, Buccaneers, and Commanders. The Eagles defeated the Packers by a score of 22-10, the Rams by a score of 28-22, the Commanders by a score of 55-23, and the Chiefs by a score of 40-22 to win the Super Bowl. Philadelphia scored 27.2 points per game in 2024, which was ranked 7th in the NFL, while they allowed 17.8 points against per game, which was ranked 2nd. 

During the preseason, the Eagles won their first and third games against the Bengals and Jets by scores of 34-27 and 19-17, but lost the middle game by a score of 22-13 to the Browns. Philadelphia had a fantastic 2024 season and they will look to defend their Super Bowl with a win here. The Eagles return a lot of their team from last year, as Hurts, Barkley, Brown, Smith, and Goedert will be back. Philadelphia started last season with a 34-29 win over Green Bay in week one. 

Why the Cowboys will beat the Eagles 

The Cowboys have won 14 of their last 15 September games against NFC East opponents.
The Cowboys have covered the spread in eight of their last nine September games against NFC East opponents.
The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September home games against NFC East opponents.
The Eagles have lost the first half in four of their last five Week 1 games at Lincoln Financial Field.
The Eagles have lost the first quarter in three of their last four September games as home favorites against NFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Eagles’ last five Week 1 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Five of the Cowboys’ last six games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

Saquon Barkley has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four home appearances against NFC East opponents.
Dallas Goedert has recorded 38+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Eagles as home favorites against NFC opponents.
Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in four of his last five regular season appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances with the Eagles as favorites against NFC opponents.
Jalen Hurts has scored a touchdown in each of his last four regular season appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
Dallas Goedert has recorded 46+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight home appearances against NFC East opponents.
Saquon Barkley ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing attempts (345) last season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last four games as road underdogs.
George Pickens has recorded 74+ receiving yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with his team as a road underdog.
Dak Prescott has recorded 282+ passing yards in three of his last four Thursday appearances.
Dak Prescott has recorded 26+ completions in each of his last three appearances with the Cowboys as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
Miles Sanders has recorded 45+ rushing yards in 11 of his last 13 regular season appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
Miles Sanders has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five September appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
Brandon Aubrey ranked 1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (14) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Eagles ranked 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (174.2) last season.
The Eagles ranked T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (22) last season.
The Cowboys ranked 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (35.7%) last season.
The Cowboys ranked 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage against (75.0%) last season.

David Racey was 18-10 (64%) in the NFL Preseason this year. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction 

Philadelphia will start their title defense with a divisional battle against their rival to open the 2025 season, and they are a pretty sizable favorite coming into this one. The Eagles should be one of the top teams in the NFL once again this year and will look to get off to a fast start. Dallas will have a healthy Dak under center and they should be decent offensively, but losing Parsons is a massive loss. I do think Philadelphia will get the win, but I think Dallas can keep it within one possession.