Commanders vs Eagles Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Commanders vs Eagles prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 4th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 18 matchup.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders are 4-12 this season after they lost to Dallas by a score of 30-23 in their last game. Washington trailed 24-10 at halftime, but they cut the deficit to 27-20 and 30-23, before falling just short in the comeback attempt. The Commanders were out gained by a total of 480-328, went 1-6 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Josh Johnson went 15-23 for 198 yards, while Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushed 11 times for 105 yards and two scores. Deebo Samuel led the receivers with two catches for 68 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Eagles by a score of 29-18, but did beat the Giants by a score of 29-21 before that. The Commanders have lost 10 of their last 11 games and they are currently last in the NFC East standings. Washington has scored 20.8 points per game with 187.4 passing yards and 134.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.1 points against per game this season. Josh Johnson has thrown for 241 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception, while Jacory Croskey-Merritt has rushed for 776 yards and eight scores on 162 carries. Deebo Samuel has led the receivers with 70 catches for 707 yards and five scores this season. 

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles are 11-5 this year after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 13-12 in their last game. Philadelphia led 7-0 after the first quarter and 13-0 at halftime, but they failed to score in the second half and needed to stop a two point conversion with five seconds left to get the win. The Eagles were out gained by a total of 331-190, went 3-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Jalen Hurts went 13-27 for 110 yards and one touchdown, while Saquon Barkley rushed 19 times for 68 yards. AJ Brown led the receivers with five catches for 68 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Philadelphia defeated the Commanders by a score of 29-18 and the Raiders by a score of 31-0. The Eagles have won three games in a row and they have clinched the NFC East standings. Philadelphia has scored 22.6 points per game with 192.3 passing yards and 119.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.8 points against per game this season. The Eagles plan to rest some starters for this game, so we should see Tanner McKee get the start under center, while Tank Bigsby and Jahan Dotson should see increased workload. 

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Eagles have won each of their last eight home games without Reed Blankenship.
• The Commanders have lost nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs without Terry McLaurin.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Lincoln Financial Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Commanders have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine road games against NFC opponents.
• The Commanders have lost the first half in nine of their last 11 road games against reigning Super Bowl champions.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Commanders have won three of their last four January games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in six of their last eight January games as underdogs against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Eagles’ last four games without Grant Calcaterra have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Commanders’ last four games as underdogs without DeMarcus Walker have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Saquon Barkley has recorded 13+ receiving yards in 16 of his 18 previous regular season home appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing yards in each of the Eagles’ last four games against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of the Eagles’ last three home games against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 17+ completions in eight of the Eagles’ last nine regular season games against the Commanders.
• Heading into Week 18, Jalen Hurts has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (4 vs Chargers, Week 14).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Deebo Samuel has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his five previous January road appearances.
• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine Sunday road appearances.
• Terry McLaurin has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Commanders as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 26+ rushing yards in four of his five previous January appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 18, Mike Sainristil ranks T7th in the NFL in interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Eagles – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Heading into Week 18, the Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (70.7%) this season.
• Heading into Week 18, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in 1st downs against (358) this season.
• Heading into Week 18, the Commanders have played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with an 11-5 record and they don’t have much to play for, so we will see plenty of backups here. Washington is just 4-12 on the season and they haven’t had anything to play for in weeks. The Eagles did just beat the Commanders by a score of 29-18 on December 20th, but that game was very chippy towards the end. It is never easy to handicap a game without the starters for one side, but I think we are going to see some points. Washington has scored 18+ in four of their last five, while the Philly offense should be fine against this terrible Washington defense. Take the over here.

David Racey is 109-88 (55%) in the NFL this season and is one of the top NFL cappers on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Over 38.5