Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction NFL Picks 8/22/24

Pick details

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) vs Chicago Bears (0-0)

August 22, 2024 at 08:20 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 / Chicago Bears -3.5 — Over/Under: 35.5

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The Chicago Bears and the Kansas City Chiefs meet Thursday in NFL preseason action from Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Chiefs pick. We will examine:

The Kansas City Chiefs recent form and player performance

The Chicago Bears recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Chiefs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago Bears

Recent betting trends in games played between the Bears and Chiefs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Bears vs Chiefs game

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Chicago has three preseason games under their belt this year, beginning with a 21-17 win over the Houston Texans in the Hall of Fame Game. The Bears kept their run going on August 10 with a 33-6 blowout victory over the Buffalo Bills. Ian Wheeler did most of the work in that one, rushing for 43 yards and two scores.

In game three versus the Cincinnati Bengals, the Bears kept their preseason spotless so far. Chicago scored 24 points across the middle two quarters during a 27-3 blowout victory. QB Tyson Bagent went 7-for-8 for 87 yards and two scores. Both were to Dante Pettis, who caught three balls for 53 yards.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Over on the Chiefs’ side, they dropped their first preseason game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 26-13. Kansas City gave up points in every quarter in the defeat. Patrick Mahomes stepped in briefly to complete three of his four passes for 27 yards. Carson Steele had a TD and 29 yards on four carries.

In game two against the Detroit Lions, Kansas City fell once again. The Chiefs were outscored 12-7 in the second half during a 24-23 result. Mahomes went 8-of-14 for 93 yards this time. Deneric Prince led the rush with seven carries for 47 yards, and Cornell Powell caught a 64-yard touchdown.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

  • D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his six previous September home appearances.
  • D’Andre Swift has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Keenan Allen has recorded 63+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • D’Andre Swift has recorded 61+ rushing yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Tremaine Edmunds is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

  • Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
  • Isiah Pacheco has scored the last touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last three games against AFC opponents.
  • Travis Kelce has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six games against the Ravens.
  • Carson Wentz has recorded 251+ passing yards in each of his six previous Week 1 appearances.
  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chiefs’ last eight home games in September.
  • Carson Wentz has recorded 24+ completions in nine of his last 10 September appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Isiah Pacheco was the only Chiefs player to record a touchdown in seven consecutive appearances last season (including playoffs).

Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

I’m going to lean toward the Bears again. Probably not touching it, though. Chicago has looked pretty good in exhibition play so far this year, but their offense in the Bengals game left something to be desired. The Bears posted 299 yards (209 passing) but only 15 first downs and 2-of-10 on third-down tries. Conversely, Chicago bagged three turnovers on defense and benefitted from the Bengals’ 11 penalties.

As for KC, I could see them winning easily here if they leave their bigger names in for a while. The Chiefs did cough up a whopping 459 yards (342 passing) against the Lions, but they also managed three turnovers. Kansas City’s 13 first downs and 4-of-14 third-down conversion rate aren’t super inspiring, though.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Chicago Bears -3.5

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