Chargers vs Ravens Prediction 11/16/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Chargers vs Ravens Prediction

Los Angeles comes into this matchup searching for their first win of the season, but they have played very poorly through the first two months. The Chargers have scored 17 points or fewer in three of their last four games and they are 0-4 on the road. Baltimore has lost four in a row and they have allowed 33+ points in three straight. The Ravens will have Brissett at quarterback, but who knows how he will do with a new playbook. I think this is a great chance for the Chargers to get their first win of the season, so I will take them with the points here.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-8 this season after they lost to the Texans by a score of 44-22 in their last game. Los Angeles trailed 24-9 at halftime and they allowed 20 points in the second half for another ugly loss. The Chargers were out gained by a total of 485-315, went 5-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Justin Herbert threw for 193 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Quentin Johnston caught one pass for 58 yards and one score. Omarion Hampton rushed 13 times for 60 yards in the game.

Prior to that loss, Los Angeles lost to the Rams by a score of 24-9 and the Chiefs by a score of 22-6. The Chargers have scored 15.1 points per game with 177.1 passing yards and 114.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.4 points against per game this season. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,591 yards with six touchdowns and 11 interceptions, while Ladd McConkey has 17 receptions for 286 yards and one score. Omarion Hampton is the leading rusher with 102 carries for 369 yards and three touchdowns this season.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens are 4-5 this year after they lost to the Jaguars by a score of 33-10 in their last game. Baltimore trailed 17-3 at halftime and never had a chance in the second half in the blowout loss. The Ravens were out gained by a total of 319-227, went 4-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Joe Fagnano threw for 60 yards and two interceptions, while Mark Andrews caught two passes for 19 yards. Justice Hill rushed nine times for 85 yards and one score in the game.

Prior to that loss, Baltimore lost to the Bills by a score of 36-10 and the Bengals by a score of 35-13. The Ravens have scored 21.0 points per game with 188.4 passing yards and 137.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.2 points against per game this season. Jacoby Brissett will be the starting quarterback after getting traded from Arizona. Derrick Henry has rushed 175 times for 689 yards and eight touchdowns, while Zay Flowers has 43 receptions for 614 yards and three scores this year.

Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win

• The Ravens have lost four of their last five games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• The Chargers have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at M&T Bank Stadium.
• The Chargers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games.
• The Chargers have won the first half in five of their last six night games.
• The Ravens have lost the first quarter in three of their last four November games as favorites against AFC West opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of the Ravens’ last 13 games as favorites following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Chargers’ last six games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Mark Andrews has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four Monday appearances.
• Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in four of the Ravens’ last five games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• Jacoby Brissett has recorded 21+ completions in eight of his last nine November appearances.
• Jacoby Brissett has recorded 258+ passing yards in five of his last six November appearances.
• Mark Andrews has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last seven regular season games as home favorites against AFC West opponents.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 89+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Ravens’ last eight night games.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 80+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances against the Chargers.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his 11 appearances with his team as a home favorite against teams that held a losing record.
• Heading into Week 10, Jacoby Brissett ranks 1st in the league for pass attempts inside the 20 (59) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

• Quentin Johnston has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four night road appearances.
• Quentin Johnston has scored a touchdown in each of his last three regular season night road appearances.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last four November games as road underdogs.
• Kimani Vidal has recorded 21+ rushing yards in eight of the Chargers’ last nine games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• Justin Herbert has recorded 213+ passing yards in each of his last eight appearances in regular season night games against AFC opponents.
• Quentin Johnston has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with the Chargers as road underdogs.
• Quentin Johnston has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with the Chargers as road underdogs.
• Heading into Week 10, Justin Herbert ranks T6th in the league for batted pass attempts (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Ravens are the only team in the NFL that failed to win a single quarter in multiples games this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Ravens have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 15+ points this season (3).
• Heading into Week 10, the Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (25.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Chargers have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (5).

Positive Trends

I know the Chargers have been terrible for most of this year, but the Ravens haven’t been much better in recent weeks. Baltimore is 1-4 in their last five home games as favorites and they are 0-8 against the spread in their last eight home games. Los Angeles has had some success starting fast against AFC North opponents as well, so give me the Chargers and the points in a critical road game.

David Racey's Pick: Chargers +4.5