Oct 12, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) throws a pass during the first half against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction 10/20/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

Pick details

Tampa Bay (5-1) vs Detroit (4-2)

October 20, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -5.5 — Over/Under: +53

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Lions prediction for this NFL game on Monday, October 20th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 7 matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 5-1 this year after they defeated San Francisco by a score of 30-19 last week. Tampa Bay led 20-16 at halftime, but their lead was cut to 20-19 in the third, before they scored the last 10 points to pull way with the win. The Buccaneers were out gained by a total of 363-352, went 3-8 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Baker Mayfield went 17-23 for 256 yards and two touchdowns, while Rachaad White rushed 17 times for 65 yards and one score. Kameron Johnson led the receivers with four receptions for 64 yards and one touchdown in the win. The TB defense recorded six sacks and five tackles for loss in the game. 

Tampa Bay also has wins against the Seahawks, Jets, Texans, and Falcons, but they did lose to the Eagles. The Buccaneers have won two games in a row and they are currently first in the NFC South standings. Tampa Bay has scored 27.5 points per game with 244.2 passing yards and 109.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.2 points against per game this season. Baker Mayfield has thrown for 1,539 yards, 12 touchdowns, and one interception, while Rachaad White has rushed for 214 yards and four scores on 54 carries this year. 

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 4-2 this season after they lost to Kansas City by a score of 30-17 in their last game. Detroit trailed 13-10 at halftime and was outscored 17-7 in the second half for the disappointing loss. The Lions were out gained by a total of 355-297, went 5-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Jared Goff went 23-29 for 203 yards and two touchdowns, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 17 times for 65 yards. Jameson Williams led the receivers with six catches for 66 yards and one touchdown in the loss. The Detroit defense recorded three sacks and two tackles for loss in the game. 

Detroit also has a loss to the Packers this year, but they have wins against the Bengals, Browns, Ravens, and Bears. The Lions have won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the NFC North standings. Detroit has scored 31.8 points per game with 225.0 passing yards and 128.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.7 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has thrown for 1,390 yards, 14 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has 44 receptions for 452 yards and six scores this season. 

Why the Detroit Lions will win

The Lions have won each of their last nine games at Ford Field following a loss.
The Buccaneers have lost 17 of their 19 previous Week 7 road games.
The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last nine home games following a loss.
The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games before a Division game.
The Buccaneers have lost the first half in eight of their last 10 Week 7 road games against NFC opponents.
The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in each of their last three Monday road games.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Buccaneers’ last six Week 7 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Lions’ last four Week 7 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the first touchdown in each of the Lions’ last three home games against NFC opponents.
Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in four of the Lions’ last five games at Ford Field against teams that held a winning record.
Jared Goff has recorded 255+ passing yards in eight of the Lions’ last nine games at Ford Field as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 63+ rushing yards in 11 of the Lions’ last 12 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions’ last six games as favorites with a total points line of at least 50.0.
Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last eight regular season games as favorites.
Jameson Williams has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last eight games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
Kalif Raymond has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against NFC opponents.
Heading into Week 7, Jared Goff ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (14) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games as underdogs.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 256+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four October games against NFC opponents.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Buccaneers’ last five October games.
Bucky Irving has recorded 44+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NFC opponents.
Bucky Irving has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances against NFC opponents.
Chris Godwin has recorded 68+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last five regular season games against the Lions.
Heading into Week 7, Baker Mayfield has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (87.9% vs Seahawks, Week 5).

Matchup/League Facts

Lions – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
Heading into Week 7, the Lions have recorded the highest score in a single game this season (52-points vs Chicago).
Buccaneers – four different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
Heading into Week 7, the Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (7.7) this season.

Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup after a very tough game against Kansas City last week, but I think they will find more success here. The Lions are a much better team at home and their offense should explode against a bad Tampa Bay defense. On the other side, the Detroit defense is dealing with injuries, but the Tampa Bay offense is missing a ton of their production as well. We should see plenty of scoring in this game, but I think the Detroit defense will make a few more plays than the TB defense. Take the Lions at home. 

David Racey is 37-21 (64%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Lions -5.5

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