Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in NFL action at Olympic Stadium Berlin. Here’s a Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Pick.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Patriots and Dolphins, and they play the Panthers next. The Atlanta Falcons have lost 3 straight games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 1,630 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 1,050 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 43 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 116.8 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 595 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 22.3 points and 282.5 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 54 tackles, Zach Harrison has 3.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 2 interceptions.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Titans, lost to the Steelers, and they play the Chiefs next. The Indianapolis Colts have won 7 of their last 9 games. Daniel Jones is completing 69.6 percent of his passes for 2,404 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Tyler Warren and Micheal Pittman Jr. have combined for 1,079 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Alec Pierce has 24 receptions.

The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 125.6 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 895 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 20.1 points and 331.8 yards per game. Nick Cross leads the Indianapolis Colts with 62 tackles, Laiatu Latu has 5 sacks and Mekhi Blackmon has 2 interceptions.

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

• The Colts have won each of their last seven November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Falcons have lost five of their last six Week 10 games.
• The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against NFC South opponents.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs before a Division game.
• The Falcons have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 10 games against AFC opponents.
• The Falcons have lost the first half in four of their last five Sunday games.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Falcons’ last three Week 10 games.
• The Colts have lost four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Falcons’ last seven games.
• The Colts have lost the first half in three of their last four games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of the Falcons’ last 14 November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Colts’ last eight games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in three of the Colts’ last four November games as favorites.
• Josh Downs has recorded 53+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances following a loss.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 272+ passing yards in each of the Colts’ last three Sunday games.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 20+ rushing yards in 10 of his 11 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last four games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Colts’ last eight games as favorites against teams that held a losing record.
• Heading into Week 10, Jonathan Taylor ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (895) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 24+ rushing yards in 13 of the Falcons’ last 16 games as underdogs following a loss.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 50+ receiving yards in four of the Falcons’ last five games.
• Bijan Robinson has scored a touchdown in four of the Falcons’ last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 292+ passing yards in five of his last six Week 10 appearances.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 25+ completions in three of his last four November appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Bijan Robinson has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (81 vs Bills, Week 6).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Colts rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (32.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Colts are the only team to average over 250.0 passing yards and 125.0 rushing yards this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Falcons rank 31st in the NFL in average yards per punt (44.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Falcons rank T30th in the NFL in red zone percentage against (70.0%) this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

I considered the Flacons and the points because of how the Colts looked last week. Daniel Jones looked like old Daniel Jones, and that scares me. However, the Colts have shown us far more good than bad, so one poor game can’t erase everything. Also, the Falcons are 23rd in run defense, and now they get to deal with Jonathan Taylor. Sounds fun. The Colts have covered 6 of their last 9 games. These international games are always weird, but I’m going to side with the more trustworthy team in the Colts.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indianapolis Colts -6.5