Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots Prediction NFL Picks 12/1/24

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New England Patriots (3-9) vs Indianapolis Colts (5-7)

December 1, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New England Patriots +2.5 / Indianapolis Colts -2.5 — Over/Under: 43.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots meet in week 13 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots prediction.

Indianapolis Colts Recap

The Indianapolis Colts come into this game looking to rebound from a 24-6 loss at the hands of the Detroit Lions last time out. After this game, the Colts will have a bye before taking on the Denver Broncos on the road.

Colts Looking To Bounce Back

Anthony Richardson has thrown for 1,402 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions on 47.1% passing while also rushing for 335 yards and 3 TDs. Joe Flacco has thrown for 1,167 yards, 9 TDs, and 5 interceptions on 66.5% passing. Jonathan Taylor has a team-high 708 rushing yards and 5 TDs while Alec Pierce leads the Colts’ receiving group with 629 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while Michael Pittman Jr. has 41 receptions for 508 yards and 2 TDs and Josh Downs has 53 receptions for 594 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns as well. On defense, Zaire Franklin has a team-high 123 total tackles. Kwity Paye leads the Colts with 5.5 sacks while DeForest Buckner has 4.5 sacks and Laiatu Latu has 4 sacks as well on the year. As a team, the Colts’ defense has put up 28 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

  • The Patriots have lost 13 of their last 14 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Colts have won each of their last five games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games in December.
  • The Colts have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against AFC opponents.

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this game looking to rebound from a 34-15 loss at the hands of the Miami Dolphins in their last matchup. After this game, the Patriots will head on the road to take on the Arizona Cardinals.

Patriots Playing Out The String

Drake Maye has thrown for 1,458 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 7 INTs on 65.5% passing this season while Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 828 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception on 59.1% passing. Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England on the ground with 598 rushing yards and 6 TDs while Antonio Gibson’s added 311 rushing yards. Hunter Henry leads the Pats with 535 receiving yards and 51 receptions while DeMario Douglas has 477 receiving yards and 48 grabs. Auston Hooper and Kayshon Boutte each have 250+ receiving yards while another three more Patriot receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jahlani Tavai has a team-high 83 total tackles with Keion White and Deatrich Wise Jr. each logging a team-high 5 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, New England’s defense has combined for 27 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Why the New England Patriots will win

  • The Colts have lost each of their last seven games at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Patriots have won each of their last seven games against the Colts at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Colts have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Colts at Gillette Stadium.

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction

I’m on the Colts here. You could argue that the Colts should be losers of 5 straight after barely beating the Jets, but the reality is they’re still the team fighting for something. I don’t expect Jerod Mayo to mail it in and for the Patriots to wave the white flag, but the Colts have played a gauntlet during this 1-4 run and the step down in class should benefit them here. Give me the Colts.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Indianapolis -2.5

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