Miami Dolphins vs LA Rams Prediction NFL Picks 11/11/24

LA Rams (4-4) vs Miami Dolphins (2-6)

Game Info: Monday, November 11, 2024 at 8:15 pm (SoFi Stadium)

Betting Odds: LA Rams -2.5 / Miami Dolphins +2.5 --- Over/Under: 49 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams meet Monday in week 11 NFL action at SoFi Stadium. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs LA Rams Prediction. This article will include a Miami Dolphins vs LA Rams Pick.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins lost to the Cardinals and Bills, and they play the Raiders next. The Dolphins have won and lost 3 of their last 4 road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 72.7 percent of his passes for 948 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 756 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jonnu Smith has 30 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 133.9 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 420 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 23.4 points and 303.1 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 62 tackles, Calais Campbell has 2 sacks and Zach Sieler has 1 interception.

Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Vikings and Seahawks, and they play the Patriots next. The Rams have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,969 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Tutu Atwell and Demarcus Robinson have combined for 693 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Cooper Kupp has 34 receptions.

The Los Angeles Rams ground game is averaging 97.1 yards per contest, and Kyren Williams leads the way with 602 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 24.3 points and 360.8 yards per game. Christian Rozeboom leads the Los Angeles Rams with 65 tackles, Kobie Turner has 4 sacks and Jaylen McCollough has 4 interceptions.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

  • The Dolphins have won five of their last six games as underdogs in California.
  • The Rams have lost each of their last three November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Rams have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 10 games.
  • The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last five November games as underdogs.
  • The Rams have lost the first quarter in four of their last six November games as favorites.

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

  • Matthew Stafford has recorded 249+ passing yards in each of his last seven November appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Demarcus Robinson has scored the last touchdown in three of the Rams' last four games.
  • Demarcus Robinson has recorded 35+ receiving yards in eight of the Rams' last nine games following a win.
  • Puka Nacua has recorded 16+ rushing yards in three of the Rams' last four games as favorites following a win.
  • Puka Nacua has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight home appearances.
  • Matthew Stafford has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight Week 10 appearances.
  • Matthew Stafford has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last four home appearances against AFC East opponents.
  • Heading into Week 10, Kamren Kinchens has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Seahawks, Week 9).

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

  • Tyreek Hill has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances on the West Coast.
  • Raheem Mostert has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • Raheem Mostert has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven regular-season appearances with the Dolphins as road underdogs.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 280+ passing yards in four of his last five road appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 34+ receiving yards in 25 of his 27 previous November appearances.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his three previous appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs on the West Coast.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 23+ completions in four of his last five regular-season appearances with the Dolphins as road underdogs.
  • Marcus Maye is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, the Rams rank 30th in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (6.1) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Rams rank 29th in the NFL in H1 points per game (7.9) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Dolphins rank 31st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (12.5) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Dolphins rank T30th in the NFL in sacks (10.0) this season.

Miami Dolphins vs LA Rams Prediction

The Miami Dolphins are coming off their best game of the season, where they took the Bills down to the wire on the road and nearly won as 6-point underdogs. Tua Tagovailoa is back and has played back-to-back solid games. The Dolphins' defense could also possibly get back two key players Zach Sieler and Bradley Chubb. Of course, check the injury report before locking in anything. Must win games for the Dolphins moving forward, but there's an upside with them in the underdog role if they can build on that Buffalo performance. I'll grab the points with the Fins on the road.

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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