Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

The Houston Texans and the New England Patriots meet in week 6 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots prediction.

Houston Texans Recap

The Houston Texans come into this one looking to build on their back-to-back wins after a 23-20 win over the Buffalo Bills in their last matchup. After this game, the Texans will stay on the road to go to Lambeau to take on the Packers.

Texans Looking To Keep Momentum Rolling

C.J. Stroud has thrown for 1,385 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.9% passing while Joe Mixon has a team-high 184 rushing yards and Cam Akers has 148 rushing yards as well on the year. Nico Collins has a team-high 32 receptions for 567 yards and 3 touchdowns while Stefon Diggs also has 31 grabs for 315 yards and 2 TDs as well on the year. Three more Texans have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Henry To’oTo’o has a team-high 38 total tackles while Azeez Al-Shakir has 37 total tackles including a team-high 26 solo tackles. Will Anderson Jr. has a team-high 2.5 sacks while Houston’s defense as a whole has combined for 15 sacks and 3 interceptions this season.

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Patriots have lost each of their last 10 games played on the East Coast.
• The Texans have won each of their last eight October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games at Gillette Stadium following a loss.
• The Texans have covered the spread in four of their last five games in October.

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this game looking to snap their four-game losing streak they’re currently on thanks to a 15-10 loss to Miami last time out. After this game, the Pats will head out on the road for a date with the Jaguars.

Patriots Trying To Build Positive Vibes

Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 696 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 58.5% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson leads the Patriots on the ground with 356 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Antonio Gibson also has 207 rushing yards while Hunter Henry has 16 grabs for 180 yards this season. DeMario Douglas has also added 18 receptions for 153 yards as well on the year. On defense, Raekwon McMillan has a team-high 32 total tackles. Keion White also has a team-high 4 sacks as well on the year for New England.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last nine games against AFC South opponents on a winning streak.
• The Texans have lost each of their seven previous games at Gillette Stadium.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games as road favorites.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Texans and Patriots.

Texans vs. Patriots Prediction

I’m going to take a stab on New England here. It goes without saying that the Texans are the better team with far more upside here. However, in their opener, they narrowly got by the Colts and their only other road game saw them get crushed by the Vikings. The Patriots are neither of those teams, but New England’s most competitive and respectable performances have come at home this season, and Houston’s four wins have come by a combined 15 points. New England’s blowout losses have come on the road, but at home, a 5-point loss to Miami and a 3-point loss to Seattle. There could also be a bit of a letdown for Houston after a big win over a solid Bills team on a walk-off 58-yard field goal in what could end up being a potential playoff matchup down the road. I’ll take the free TD with New England.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New England +7