Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction NFL Picks 9/30/24

Miami Dolphins (1-2) vs Tennessee Titans (0-3)

Game Info: Monday, September 30, 2024 at 7:30 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins +1.5 / Tennessee Titans -1.5 --- Over/Under: 37 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tennessee Titans and Miami Dolphins meet Monday in week 4 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction. This article will include a Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Pick.

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

The Tennessee Titans lost to the Bears, Jets, and Packers, and they play the Colts next. The Tennessee Titans hope to avoid their first 0-4 start since the 2009 season. Will Levis is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 579 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Calvin Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins have combined for 226 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tyler Boyd has 8 receptions.

The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 101 yards per contest, and Tony Pollard leads the way with 158 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 26 points and 263.7 yards per game. Ernest Jones IV leads the Tennessee Titans with 25 tackles, Harold Landry III has 3 sacks and Amani Hooker has 2 pass deflections.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins lost to the Bills and Seahawks, and they play the Patriots next. The Dolphins have won 8 of their last 11 home games. Tim Boyle is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 79 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 370 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while De’Von Achane has 17 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 95 yards per contest, and Achane leads the way with 150 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24 points and 294.7 yards per game. David Long Jr. leads the Miami Dolphins with 21 tackles, Calais Campbell has 2 sacks and Zach Sieler has 1 interception.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last eight home games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Titans have lost eight of their last nine road games against AFC opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in 10 of the Dolphins' last 11 Week 4 games.
  • The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games in September.
  • The Titans have lost the first half in three of their last four September road games against AFC opponents.
  • The favorites have won the first quarter in each of the Dolphins' last six Week 4 games.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

  • Raheem Mostert has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four appearances with the Dolphins as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 308+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances with the Dolphins as favorites following a loss.
  • De'Von Achane has scored a touchdown in each of the Dolphins' last four regular-season games against AFC opponents.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous September appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 11+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances.
  • Jaylen Waddle has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with the Dolphins as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Marcus Maye is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

  • DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 59+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight road appearances against conference opponents.
  • Will Levis has recorded 12+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances.
  • Tony Pollard has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four September appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Tyler Boyd has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five regular season road appearances against AFC East opponents.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (10.3) this season.
  • The Dolphins rank 31st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (19.3) this season.
  • The Titans rank 2nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.4) this season.
  • The Titans rank 31st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (16.0) this season.

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

This line has flip-flopped because nobody knows who the Dolphins are going to start at quarterback. Skylar Thompson has a rib injury and looked awful last week. Tim Boyle made a couple of throws as the third string last week, but his skill set is limited, and he's never won going back to college. Tyler Huntley is the right answer in terms of talent, but he joined the team a little over a week ago, and it's a question of how much of the playbook he can learn on the fly.

All that said, the Dolphins are still a better team than the Titans. The Tennessee Titans are just as a mess offensively and Will Levis has been a turnover machine. The Dolphins defense has been good enough to win games this season and the offense still has playmakers. I love the Dolphins and the free points if Huntley starts. If he doesn't, this is a stay-away. I'd still side with the home dog on Monday night if forced to pick.

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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