Kansas City Chiefs vs LA Chargers Prediction NFL Picks 9/29/24

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LA Chargers (2-1) vs Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)

September 29, 2024 at 04:25 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Chargers +8.5 / Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 — Over/Under: 39.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers meet in week 4 NFL action from SoFi Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers prediction.

Kansas City Chiefs Recap

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this one looking to build on their 3-0 start to the year after a 22-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons on Monday night. After this game, the Chiefs will head home to welcome the Saints to town.

Chiefs Looking To Make Statement Against Banged-Up Rival

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 659 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 69.6% passing while Isiah Pacheco has 135 rushing yards and a touchdown but will miss significant time with an injury. Rashee Rice leads the Chiefs’ receiving group with 24 grabs for 288 yards and 2 touchdowns this season. On defense, Nick Bolton and Chamarri Conner each have a team-high 22 total tackles including 15 solo tackles apiece while the Chiefs’ defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and an interception.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 games played on the West Coast.
  • D.J. Chark Jr.’s team has lost each of its seven previous games with him playing against Justin Reid.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Chargers Recap

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season, sitting at 2-1 on the year after a 20-10 loss to Pittsburgh last time out. After this game, the Chargers will head on the road for another division battle against the Denver Broncos.

Chargers Trying To Navigate Through Injuries

Justin Herbert has thrown for 399 yards, 4 touchdowns, and an interception on 67.2% passing, but is currently dealing with an ankle injury and is questionable for this game. J.K. Dobbins has a team-high 310 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns while Quentin Johnston has a team-high 10 receptions for 133 yards and 3 touchdowns and Ladd McConkey also has 10 grabs for 109 yards and a score as well. On defense, Daiyan Henley has a team-high 28 total tackles while Khalil Mack has 2.5 sacks and Joey Bosa has 2 sacks as well on the year. As a team, the Chargers’ defense has combined for 8 sacks and 3 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win

  • The Chargers have won each of their last eight Week 4 games against AFC opponents.
  • The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last five Week 4 games.
  • Reigning Super Bowl Champions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three Week 4 games.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I think this has all the potential to be a slugfest, as the Chiefs haven’t necessarily lit the world on fire offensively and are up against a stout Charger defense here. On the other side, the Chargers could be without Justin Herbert here and may end up taking a very run-heavy approach in this one. All in all, I think this has all the makings of a low-scoring, physical, division rivalry matchup and I’ll side with the under as a result.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 39.5

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