Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction NFL Picks 9/29/24

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are 1-2 this season after they defeated Chicago by a score of 21-16 in their last game. Indianapolis led 14-3 after three quarters and they were able to hang on for the win in the fourth. The Colts were outgained by a total of 395-306, won the turnover battle 3-2, and went 3-12 on third down in the game. Anthony Richardson threw for 167 yards and two interceptions, while Jonathan Taylor rushed for 110 yards and two scores on 23 carries. 

Indianapolis lost to Houston in week one by a score of 29-27 and Green Bay in week two by a score of 16-10. The Indianapolis offense has scored 19.3 points per game with 184.3 passing yards and 131.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.3 points per game this season. The Colts have gone 32.3% on third down and 2-5 on fourth down so far this season. Anthony Richardson has completed 49.3% of his passes for 583 yards, three touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Alec Pierce has caught nine passes for 225 yards and two scores. 

Why the Colts will beat the Steelers

• The Steelers have lost three of their last four Week 4 games as favorites.
• The home team has won six of the Colts' last eight games.
• The Colts have covered the spread in four of their last five games in September.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three Week 4 games.
• The Colts have won the first quarter in five of their last six Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last four games against AFC South opponents.

Why the Steelers will beat the Colts

• The Steelers have won each of their last seven games against the Colts following a home win.
• The Colts have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games following a home win.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games in September.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last four September road games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in five of their last six road games against the Colts.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of the Steelers' last 14 games as road favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Colts' last seven games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances following a win.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 77+ receiving yards in each of the Colts' last four games against AFC North opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Anthony Richardson has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Packers, Week 2).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Russell Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances following a win.
• Justin Fields has recorded 58+ passing yards in each of his last 35 Sunday appearances.
• Justin Fields has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of his last eight road appearances.
• Najee Harris has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Steelers' last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• Najee Harris has recorded 14+ receiving yards in four of the Steelers' last five games as favorites.
• Russell Wilson has thrown four touchdowns in each of his last two September road appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Justin Fields has recorded six or more completions in each of his last 29 appearances against conference opponents.
• Chris Boswell ranks T1st in the NFL in made field goals (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colts rank 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (398.3) this season.
• The Colts rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (179.0) this season.
• The Steelers rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (13.0 yards) this season.
• The Steelers rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (4.3) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 

The Steelers come into this game looking for their fourth straight win to start the season, but they will be on the road for this game. Pittsburgh hasn’t been great offensively in their first three games, but they have only allowed 10, 10, and 6 points in the three wins. Indianapolis has also struggled on the offensive side of the ball in their last two games and I have not been impressed with Richardson’s play at quarterback. I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game here, as both quarterbacks struggle to get anything going, so give me the under in this matchup.