Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL Picks 9/29/24

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 29th at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week four matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 0-3 this year after they lost to Washington by a score of 38-33 in their last game. Cincinnati led 7-0 in the first quarter, but that was the only lead they would have in the loss, as they struggled to get stops. The Bengals outgained Washington by a total of 436-356, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 324 yards and three touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase caught six passes for 118 yards and two scores. 

Cincinnati lost to New England by a score of 16-10 in their first game and Kansas City by a score of 26-25 in their second game. The Cincinnati offense has scored 22.7 points per game with 237.3 passing yards and 89.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.7 points per game this season. The Bengals have gone 41.2% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down so far this season. Joe Burrow has completed 70.9% of his passes for 746 yards and five touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 16 passes for 215 yards and two scores. 

Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

The Carolina Panthers are 1-2 this season after they defeated the Raiders by a score of 36-22 in their last game. Carolina was tied at seven after the first quarter, but they scored the next 26 points for the easy win. The Panthers outgained the Raiders by a total of 437-331, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Andy Dalton threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns, while Chuba Hubbard rushed for 114 yards on 21 carries. 

Carolina lost to New Orleans by a score of 47-10 and the Chargers by a score of 26-3 in their first two games. The Carolina offense has scored 16.3 points per game with 170 passing yards and 93 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 31.7 points per game this season. The Panthers have gone 20.6% on third down and 2-6 on fourth down through three games. Andy Dalton replaced Bryce Young after week two and he looked very good in last week’s win. Chuba Hubbard has rushed for 192 yards, while Diontae Johnson has caught 13 passes for 156 yards and one score. 

Why the Panthers will beat the Bengals

• The Bengals have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Panthers have won each of their last two Week 4 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Bengals’ last three games.
• The Bengals have lost the first half in six of their last seven Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
• The Bengals have lost the first quarter in four of their last five road games.

Why the Bengals will beat the Panthers

• The Panthers have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bengals have won each of their last four road games against NFC opponents.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Bank of America Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last four games against NFC South opponents.
• The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last four Sunday road games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Panthers’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Bengals’ last four road games against NFC South opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Chuba Hubbard has recorded 43+ rushing yards in each of the Panthers’ last eight Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Diontae Johnson has scored a touchdown in three of his last four appearances following a win.
• Andy Dalton has recorded 301+ passing yards in three of his last four September appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC North opponents.
• Tommy Tremble has recorded 23+ receiving yards in three of the Panthers’ last four games at Bank of America Stadium.
• Chuba Hubbard has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Panthers’ last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Raheem Blackshear ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (310) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Ja’Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bengals’ last six games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Joe Burrow has recorded 287+ passing yards in three of the Bengals’ last four Week 4 games.
• Tanner Hudson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Zack Moss has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 12 appearances following a loss.
• Zack Moss has recorded 57+ rushing yards in nine of his last 12 appearances following a loss.
• Joe Burrow has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Bengals’ last four road games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Joe Burrow has recorded 27+ completions in each of the Bengals’ last four road games against NFC opponents.
• Ja’Marr Chase ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Panthers rank T2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.
• The Panthers rank 31st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (20.6%) this season.
• The Bengals have recorded the equal-most losses in games when recording more total yards than their opponent this season (2).
• The Bengals rank T3rd in the NFL in H2 win percentage (66.7) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, after their defense was torched by the Commanders last week. The Bengals played well against KC in their second game, losing by just one point, but weeks one and three have been a disaster. Carolina was blown out in their first two games, but Andy Dalton looked great in their week three win. I think the Carolina offense can have another solid day against this struggling Cincinnati defense, while I expect Burrow and Company to move the ball pretty easily, so I like the over here.