Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction NFL Picks 9/22/24

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are 0-2 this season after they lost to Green Bay by a score of 16-10 last week. Indianapolis was shut out in the first half and only managed a field for most of the second half, until finally scoring a touchdown with under two minutes left. The Colts were outgained by a total of 383-338, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 2-9 on third down in the game. Anthony Richardson threw for 204 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Jonathan Taylor rushed for 103 yards on 12 carries. 

Indianapolis lost to Houston by a score of 29-27 in week one, as they had another pretty inefficient game out of Richardson. The Indianapolis offense has scored 18.5 points per game with 198.5 passing yards and 122 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.5 points per game this season. The Colts have gone 36.8% on third down and 2-4 on fourth down through two games. Anthony Richardson has completed 49.1% of his passes for 416 yards, three touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Alec Pierce has caught eight passes for 181 yards and two scores. 

Why the Colts will beat the Bears

• The Bears have lost 18 of their last 19 Sunday road games.
• The home team has won 12 of the Bears' last 13 games.
• The Colts have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Week 3 games.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The favorites have won the first half in five of the Colts' last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Colts' last nine Sunday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games at Lucas Oil Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Bears' last five games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Anthony Richardson has recorded 200+ passing yards in three of his four previous Sunday home appearances.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five Sunday appearances with the Colts as favorites.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 104+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Colts' last four games.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four home appearances.
• Josh Downs has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Anthony Richardson has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Packers, Week 2).

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Khalil Herbert has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances with the Bears as underdogs following a road loss.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears' last eight road games against AFC opponents.
• Keenan Allen has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 regular season road appearances.
• Keenan Allen has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
• Tremaine Edmunds is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colts rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (10.5) this season.
• The Colts rank T1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• The Bears rank 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.
• The Bears rank 31st in the NFL in yards per game (176.5) this season.

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after having some offensive issues in their first two games, but Chicago was able to steal a win in week one. The Bears were able to force a few turnovers against the Titans in their first win and their defense played pretty well against Houston in week two, but the offense needs to get better. Indianapolis has done a decent job of moving the ball through two games, but Richardson is having turnover issues and the passing game is not efficient. I don’t like what I have seen out of Williams through two games and he isn’t getting a ton of help from his line, so give me the Colts at home.