Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction NFL Picks 9/15/24

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Detroit Lions (1-0) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0)

September 15, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Lions -7 / Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 — Over/Under: 51.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 15th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week two matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-0 this year after they defeated Washington by a score of 37-20 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 16-7 at halftime and 23-14 in the third quarter, before scoring the first 14 points of the fourth to put the game away. The Buccaneers outgained Washington by a total of 392-299, didn’t turn the ball over at all, and went 9-13 on third down in the win. Baker Mayfield threw for 289 yards and four touchdowns, while Chris Godwin caught eight passes for 83 yards and one score in the game. 

Tampa Bay played very well in the first half and was able to hold a comfortable lead for most of the game. The Buccaneers only allowed seven points in the first 43 minutes of the win, but the defense will have their hands full with Detroit here. The Bucs will meet the Broncos after this game.

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 1-0 this season after they defeated the Rams by a score of 26-20 in overtime last week. Detroit led 17-3 in the third quarter, but they needed a field with 17 seconds left just to force overtime. The Lions won the coin toss in overtime and marched right down for the game-winning touchdown, but blowing a two-touchdown lead in the second half is not great. The Lions were outgained by a total of 387-363, had one turnover, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Jared Goff threw for 217 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while David Montgomery rushed for 91 yards and one score on 17 carries. 

Detroit jumped out to a nice second-half lead, but their offense went cold and allowed the Rams to take the lead. The Lions didn’t look great offensively, but they also didn’t play their starters in the preseason, which definitely hurt them here. I expect Detroit to improve by quite a bit over the next few weeks. 

Why the Buccaneers Will Cover

  • The Buccaneers have won each of their last seven Week 2 games.
  • The Lions have lost each of their last two Week 2 games as home favorites.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last seven Week 2 games.
  • The Lions have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Lions’ last four games after coming off overtime has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Buccaneers’ last four Week 2 road games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

  • Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last seven Sunday games.
  • David Montgomery has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last four games as favorites following a win.
  • David Montgomery has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six September appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
  • Jared Goff has recorded 273+ passing yards in six of the Lions’ last seven games following a home win.
  • David Montgomery has recorded 67+ rushing yards in each of his last four September appearances.
  • Jared Goff has recorded 25+ completions in four of the Lions’ last five games following a home win.
  • Jared Goff has thrown two or more touchdowns in 15 of the Lions’ last 17 regular season home games against NFC opponents.
  • Carlton Davis is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC North opponents.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 22+ receiving yards in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games as road underdogs.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 91+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last five Sunday road games.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs following a win.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 75+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four regular season road games.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs following a win.
  • Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games following a win.
  • Baker Mayfield ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Lions rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (100.0) this season.
  • The Lions rank 31st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (304.0) this season.
  • The Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (14.0) this season.
  • The Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (100.0) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction 

Detroit was fortunate to come away with a victory in week one after their offense took the majority of the second half off, but their defensive effort was pretty good. I know they allowed nearly 400 yards, but they were able to limit the Rams to just 20 points and made enough key plays down the stretch. Tampa Bay blew out Washington in their first game and while Detroit is going to be a much tougher opponent, I like the Bucs to keep this game close. I think we are going to see Detroit struggle at times offensively, which will let Tampa Bay hang around. Take the Buccaneers and the points here. 

David Racey's Pick: Buccaneers +7

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