Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 9/15/24

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos are 0-1 this season after they lost to Seattle by a score of 26-20 in their first game. Denver led 13-9 at halftime but allowed the first 17 points of the second half, which put the game slightly out of reach. The Broncos were outgained by a total of 304-231, turned the ball over three times, and went 5-18 on third down in the loss. Bo Nix threw for 138 yards and two interceptions, while also rushing for 35 yards and one score. Josh Reynolds caught five passes for 45 yards in the game. 

Denver did plenty of good things in this game, especially on defense, but their comeback attempt came up just short in the fourth quarter. The Broncos have to like what they see from Bo Nix, but I don’t know if throwing the ball 40 times is what they should be doing with a rookie quarterback. 

Why the Broncos Will Cover

• The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Steelers and Broncos.
• The Steelers have lost eight of their last nine Sunday games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 2 games as underdogs.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last three September games as favorites.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in five of their last six road games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Steelers' last eight games as road favorites following a win has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Broncos' last four September games as home underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Greg Dulcich has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his four previous home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos' last five games following a road loss.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Broncos' last five Sunday games as underdogs.
• Javonte Williams has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos' last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Seahawks, Week 1).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Najee Harris has recorded 76+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last seven games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers' last seven regular season road games against AFC opponents.
• Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in five of the Steelers' last six games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• Russell Wilson has recorded 219+ passing yards in each of his last six Week 2 appearances.
• Najee Harris has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last seven games as favorites following a win.
• Russell Wilson has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his four previous September appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Justin Fields has recorded six or more completions in each of his last 25 Sunday appearances.
• DeShon Elliott ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Broncos rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• The Broncos rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• The Steelers rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• The Steelers rank T1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (100.0) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos Prediction 

Pittsburgh was able to start the season with a nice win over Atlanta in week one, but they are still looking for their first touchdown of the season. Denver played decently well in their opener but ultimately lost to Seattle after leading at the half. The Broncos turned the ball over three times in the game, but I thought Bo Nix played well and I think he is going to give them a chance to win this game. Russell Wilson is expected to miss this game as well, but regardless of his status, I am worried about the Pittsburgh offense. I don’t love either quarterback option for the Steelers, so I am not laying a field goal on the road. Take the Broncos with the points.