Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction 2/23/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Utah Jazz and Houston Rockets meet Monday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets prediction. This article will include a Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets pick.

Utah Jazz Betting Preview

The Utah Jazz lost to the Trail Blazers and Grizzlies, and they play the Pelicans next. The Jazz have lost 19 of their last 25 games.

The Utah Jazz are averaging 118.2 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 125.9 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Lauri Markkanen is averaging 26.7 points and 7 rebounds, while Keyonte George is averaging 23.8 points and 3.9 rebounds. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Brice Sensabaugh is dishing 1.6 assists. The Utah Jazz are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Hornets and lost to the Knicks, and they play the Kings next. The Rockets have split their last 8 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.5 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.1 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.4 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Jazz have lost 27 of their last 28 road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Rockets have won 14 of their last 15 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Utah Jazz will win

• The Rockets have lost four of their last six games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Jazz have won each of their last three games when playing with a rest advantage against the Rockets.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 14 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Jazz have covered the spread in each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last 11 home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Jazz’s last four night games at Toyota Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.

The Jazz will be without Walker Kessler, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Jusuf Nurkic. Keyonte George is questionable.

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction

From a talent standpoint the Rockets should win this game comfortably. However, this is a lot of points, and the Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a double-digit favorite. While the Jazz aren’t winning and are openly tanking, they are a profitable 31-26 ATS on the season. Back in December the Jazz beat the Rockets outright as double-digit underdogs, and they’re 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a double-digit underdog overall. This is too many points. Give me the Jazz and the free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Utah Jazz +14.5