Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction 12/15/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview 

The Toronto Raptors have been in a slump as they’ve lost six of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping to snap a four-game slide after getting routed by the Knicks in a 117-101 loss on Tuesday. Brandon Ingram led the team with 31 points, six rebounds and six assists on 11 of 18 shooting, Jamal Shead added 18 points with eight assists while Scottie Barnes chipped in with 13 points.

As a team, the Raptors shot 43 percent from the field and 11 of 38 from the 3-point line as they got off to a great start with 39 points in the first quarter. But all their hard work went down the drain in the second quarter, where they got outscored by 34-13 to trail by as many as 24 points, which was too much to overcome against a hot shooting Knicks squad. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a slump as they’ve lost four of their past five games overall. They will be hoping to arrest a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Magic in a 117-108 road defeat on Tuesday. Norman Powell led the team with 21 points on eight of 19 shooting, Tyler Herro added 20 points, while Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo each scored 19 points.

As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and eight of 33 from the 3-point line as they got off to a great start and held the Magic to just 17 points in the first quarter to take a 16-point lead. However, they couldn’t hit their perimeter looks all night as they struggled against the pesky defense of the Magic. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last seven games against the Raptors at Kaseya Center following a loss.
• The Raptors have lost each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games.
• The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against the Raptors following a loss.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

• The Raptors have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost each of their last four games.
• The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Raptors’ last eight Monday games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last four home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Andrew Wiggins is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 6th amongst qualified Centers for points per game (19.2) this season.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

• Ja’Kobe Walter ranks 19th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
• Jakob Poeltl ranks T22nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (32.4).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q2 points per game this season (31.0).
• The Raptors rank 3rd in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (86.1).
• The Raptors rank 28th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.3).

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Raptors have ruled out RJ Barrett once again, while the Heat are still playing without Pelle Larsson, who is dealing with an ankle injury. The Raptors were dealing with injuries for a stretch there, but they are relatively healthy now, and it’s only a matter of time before we see them rise again. You could say the same about the Heat, who have cooled off over their past five games. You couldn’t trust either side with too much confidence at the moment, but the Heat are a solid 10-3 at home so far this season. I think they can improve on that record with a much-needed win and cover in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -6