Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction 11/6/2026 NBA Picks Today

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

Just when it looked like the Thunder were going to go into a rough patch, they won two games against the Cavs. Give them credit. I’m still not eager to lay points with OKC against good teams given their injury situation. The Thunder are undermanned quite a bit. I think we can call the Grizzlies a good team through 8 games, as they’re 6-2 SU and ATS. The Grizzlies are top-10 in points, field goal percentage, three-point percentage, as well as defensive field goal percentage and three-point percentage.

Obviously, we’ll learn more about the Grizzlies in games like this, as there are stakes on the line with the NBA Cup and it’s against champions, but the value is with the points. The Grizzlies have looked good and have been a money maker. Give me the free buckets.

Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Rockets, beat the Cavs, and they play the Wizards next. The Thunder have won 25 of their last 30 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 110 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 108.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.1 points and 4.5 assists, while Ajay Mitchell is averaging 17.8 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared McCain is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 85.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Pelicans and Pacers, and they play the Raptors next. The Grizzlies have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 120.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 27.4 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Cameron Boozer is averaging 16.5 points and 5.4 assists. Cedric Coward is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Stewart is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The home team has won six of the Thunder’s last seven games.
• The Thunder have lost four of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 13 night games against the Grizzlies.
• The Grizzlies have lost 10 of their last 11 games following a home loss.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games after losing as favorites.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last nine night games against the Grizzlies.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the last eight night games between the Thunder and Grizzlies have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Ty Jerome ranks 5th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (32.2) this season.
• Cameron Boozer ranks 2nd amongst qualified Forwards for FT% (94.4%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 8th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (10.1) this season.
• Alex Caruso ranks T11th amongst qualified players for 3P% (50.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.0%).
• The Grizzlies rank 29th in the league for steals per game this season (6.3).
• The Thunder rank 2nd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.4).
• The Thunder rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (23.8).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis +3.5