San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 12/25/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The San Antonio Spurs invade the Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Christmas Day. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs have been in great form as they’ve won seven of their last eight games overall, and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after routing the Thunder in a 130-110 win on Tuesday. Keldon Johnson led the team with 25 points on 10 of 16 shooting, Harrison Barnes added 20 points on six of nine shooting, while Devin Vassell chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Spurs shot a healthy 57 percent from the field and 16 of 36 from the 3-point line as they traded shots with the Thunder in a tightly contested first half. Before they flipped a switch and dominated the second half by 72-50 to become the only team in the league to beat the Thunder twice this season. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve lost three of their past five games overall and they will be looking for revenge after getting trampled by the Spurs in a tough loss on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 33 points and eight assists on 14 of 22 shooting, Jalen Williams added 17 points with eight assists while Luguentz Dort chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Thunder shot 54 percent from the field and 12 of 30 from the 3-point line as they leaned heavily on Gilgeous-Alexander to lead them to a narrow lead going into halftime. However, SGA didn’t get enough support from his role players. No bench player scored more than 10 points, Isaiah Hartenstein scored just eight points while Chet Holmgren scored just seven points on three of 10 shooting. 

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Spurs have lost 16 of their last 18 games at Paycom Center following a win.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at Paycom Center following a loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Paycom Center following a win.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last three games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last seven Thursday games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Six of the Spurs’ last seven games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Thunder’s last five games at Paycom Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (35.0) this season.
• Isaiah Joe ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.5) this season.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Luke Kornet ranks 5th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.4) this season.
• Devin Vassell ranks T14th amongst qualified players for FT% (88.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.0).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.0%).
• The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons – second-longest active streak in the NBA.
• The Spurs rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (17.3).

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Spurs are coming into this contest with a full squad, while the Thunder have ruled out Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng and Ajay Mitchell again. The Spurs have been in terrific form lately, and their confidence must be sky-high after taking the Thunder apart on Tuesday.

However, the Thunder are tough to beat coming off a loss, especially at home, where they are still a perfect 14-0 on the season. I’m confident that the Thunder will get their revenge in this one, but I think the Spurs are good enough to make this a close contest.

Peter Tran's Pick: San Antonio +9.5