Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 12/14/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Pacers and Nuggets, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Kings have lost 18 of their last 23 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 111.5 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 122 points on 49.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18 points and 3.1 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Warriors, lost to the Suns, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.7 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.7 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.9 points and 6 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last 10 games at Target Center against teams that held a losing record.
• The Kings have lost each of their last 11 Sunday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Kings’ last seven games.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Kings’ last five games at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games after winning as underdogs.
• The Kings have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Five of the Timberwolves’ last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Kings’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Zach LaVine ranks 26th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.8) this season.
• Maxime Raynaud ranks 4th amongst qualified rookies for FG% (52.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
• The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.2%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (32.8).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (109.3).

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will be without Mike Conley. Anthony Edwards and Bones Hyland are questionable.

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis and Drew Eubanks. Dennis Schroder is doubtful, while Keon Ellis is questionable.

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

I don’t want to back the Kings as much as the next guy, but I’m not laying double-digit chalk with the Timberwolves, especially if Edwards isn’t playing. The Timberwolves are notorious for playing with their food, and they’re 9-16 ATS on the season. The Kings just beat the Timberwolves in overtime a couple of weeks ago as a double-digit underdog. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit favorite. As I’ve said before, just because one team is awful doesn’t mean we throw the other team a billion points. It’s Kings or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Sacramento Kings +10.5