Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Prediction 3/16/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Phoenix Suns invade the TD Garden to do battle with the red-hot Boston Celtics on Monday night. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs. Boston Celtics prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs. Boston Celtics pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns have been in fine form, as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak snapped by the Raptors in a 122-115 road defeat on Friday. Jalen Green led the team with 34 points on 13 of 25 shooting, Devin Booker added 31 points on 10 of 20 shooting, and Grayson Allen chipped in with 15 points and six assists.

As a team, the Suns shot 48 percent from the field and 18 of 42 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start and looked to be in control for most of the contest, but just when it looked like the Suns were about to pull away, they got outscored by 27-10 in the final 8:00 of the fourth quarter to lose a game they probably should have won. 

Boston Celtics Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics have been in great form, as they’ve won 15 of their last 20 games overall and they will be looking to stay hot after running past the lowly Wizards in a 111-100 home win on Saturday. Neemias Queta led the team with 24 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks on 11 of 13 shooting; Jayson Tatum added 20 points with 14 rebounds and seven assists; Jaylen Brown scored 16 points; and Luka Garza chipped in with 15 points on five of six shooting off the bench.

As a team, the Celtics shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 46 from the 3-point line as they took full control of the contest with a dominant 35-14 second quarter to lead by as many as 30 points, which was more than enough to hold off the Wizards, who finished with a flurry at the end. 

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last 10 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have lost seven of their last eight games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won three of their last four games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Celtics have lost each of their last three games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last four road games following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Celtics’ last seven home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Suns’ last six road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

• Jaylen Brown is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 25.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
• Derrick White is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 7+ blocks in a game this season.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Devin Booker ranks 9th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.4) this season.
• Collin Gillespie ranks 11th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.2).
• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.5).
• The Suns rank 30th for points in the paint per game (42.9) this season.
• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.3%).

Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Suns have ruled out Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams once again, while the Celtics are playing without Nikola Vucevic. These teams last met on Feb 24 and it was the Celtics who played excellent defense to win by 97-81. I can’t picture anything but another win for the red-hot Celtics at home, where they are so tough to beat, but I am expecting a much closer contest in this one. I like the Celtics to come away with the win at home, but for the Suns to get the cover in the end.

Peter Tran's Pick: Phoenix +9.5