Dec 30, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Philadelphia 76ers center Joel Embiid (21) reacts with guard VJ Edgecombe (77) after scoring a game winning three during overtime against the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/1/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks
Team Records 17-14 12-22
Spread -2.5 -108 +2.5 -112
Moneyline -135 +114
Total Over 230.5 (-110) Under 230.5 (-110)
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When Thursday, January 1, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV KFAA-TV

The Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview


The Philadelphia 76ers lost to the Thunder, beat the Grizzlies, and they play the Knicks next. The 76ers have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 115.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 30.7 points and 6.9 assists, while Joel Embiid is averaging 21.8 points and 6.5 rebounds. Kelly Oubre Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Paul George is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview


The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Trail Blazers and Kings, and they play the Rockets next. The Mavs have lost 5 of their last 6 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 21.7 points and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
  • The 76ers have lost each of their last five games at American Airlines Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games following an overtime win.

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

  • The 76ers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The 76ers have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eleven of the Mavericks’ last 12 night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the 76ers’ last eight games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Max Christie ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.6%) this season.
  • Cooper Flagg ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (114) this season.

Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts

  • Paul George ranks 10th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.7) this season.
  • VJ Edgecombe ranks 19th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Eight different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
  • The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.9).
  • The 76ers rank 30th in the league for H2 points per game this season (52.9).
  • The 76ers rank 1st in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (74.2%).

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report


The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.

The 76ers will be without Kelly Oubre Jr. and Trendon Watford.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction


This has a chance to be a fun game between teams that appear to be healthier than they’ve been in the past. I’m still laying the bucket with the 76ers, a team that’s 18-12-1 ATS on the season. The 76ers have been one of the more consistent moneymakers this season, and they’ve also won 7 of the last 10 games against the Mavs. At full strength or close to it, the 76ers are the better team here. We’re being asked to lay a bucket. Nothing crazy. Give me the 76ers on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -2.5

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