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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 11/7/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Thunder Oklahoma City | Kings Sacramento |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-1 | 3-5 |
| Spread | -10.5 -112 | +10.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -535 | +400 |
| Total | Over 232.5 (-108) | Under 232.5 (-112) |
| Where | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA | |
| When | Friday, November 7, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC Sports CA | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Clippers, lost to the Trail Blazers and then play the Grizzlies next. The Thunder have won 12 of their last 13 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.3 points and 6.3 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 20.6 points and 9.2 rebounds. Isaiah Joe is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 86.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Nuggets, beat the Warriors, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Kings have lost 4 of their last 6 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 117 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 120.5 points on 49.4 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 27.4 points and 3.4 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21 points and 3.9 rebounds. Malik Monk is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Schroder is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Thunder have lost four of their five previous night games at Golden 1 Center following a road loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Kings have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 28 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Kings have lost each of their last six games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Golden 1 Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Kings’ last five games at Golden 1 Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- DeMar DeRozan ranks 32nd amongst qualified players for points per game (21.0) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Jaylin Williams has recorded three games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FG% (64.1%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 29th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
- The Kings rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (25.6).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (53.1).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report
The Kings will be without Keegan Murray. Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine are questionable.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic, and Jalen Williams. Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, and Alex Caruso are questionable.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
The Thunder are going to be big favorites for obvious reasons, but they’re not covering numbers the way they have in past years, as they’re now 4-5 ATS on the season. OKC is still dealing with a boatload of injuries, which makes these lines a bit absurd. The Kings gave the Thunder a scare a week or so ago, losing by just six points. The Kings are playing their best ball at home and have quietly won two of their last three games overall. The Kings have covered 5 of the last 10 games against OKC, despite being on the losing end often. NBA Cup game at home, the Kings should be up for his one. I’ll grab the points.
