Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Rockets, beat the Lakers, and then play the Bucks next. The Thunder have won 45 of their last 58 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns lost to the 76ers, beat the Mavericks, and they play the Spurs next. The Suns have won 8 of their last 13 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 111.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.3 points and 4 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 21.1 points and 3.6 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Collin Gillespie is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Suns’ last six games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Thunder have lost six of their last seven road games against Suns teams that held a winning record.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Suns’ last eight games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 18 of their last 19 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Thunder’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between the Thunder and Suns have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

The Suns will be without Isaiah Livers, Cole Anthony, and Grayson Allen.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Topic, and Ajay Mitchell.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Thunder will be favored because they’re the Thunder and have the rest advantage. However, the Thunder are still down their best player and are 26-27-1 ATS on the season. As I continue to say, OKC doesn’t cash tickets the way it has in past years. The Suns may have played last night, but they keep winning and are 34-18-2 ATS. The Suns are the best cover team in the NBA. Furthermore, the Suns beat the Thunder last month as 10.5-point underdogs. I’m not stepping in front of the cash cows. Give me the points with the Suns.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +7.5