Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns meet Sunday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Trail Blazers and Warriors, and then play the Hornets next. The Thunder have won 34 of their last 39 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.2 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.2 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.5 points and 7.9 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Kings, lost to the Cavs, and they play the Rockets next. The Suns have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 115.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.8 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 21.5 points and 3.1 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Green is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Thunder have lost five of their last six road games against Suns teams that held a winning record.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Suns.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 17 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have lost each of their last eight games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Suns’ last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Suns’ last eight games against the Thunder following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last four games as favorites against the Suns have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Devin Booker ranks 14th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.2) this season.
• Royce O’Neale ranks 5th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.8) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Ajay Mitchell is one of only five players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
• Aaron Wiggins ranks 44th amongst qualified players for 3P% (39.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.2).
• The Suns rank 28th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (21.4).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.1).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.1%).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

The Suns will be without Jalen Green, while Grayson Allen is questionable.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Hartenstein, Nikola Topic, and Jaylin Williams. Cason Wallace and Isaiah Joe are questionable.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Thunder are going to be big favorites against pretty much every team in the league due to their consistency. OKC is 13-3 SU on the road. The Thunder are also 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games against the Suns. The Suns haven’t beat the Thunder since April 2023. However, the Suns have quietly played good ball over the last month, and they’re a profitable 22-11-1 ATS on the season. With a cover percentage of 66.6 percent, the Suns are covering tickets better than any team in the NBA. OKC also isn’t the cover monsters they’ve been in the past, as it’s just 18-17 ATS on the season. At home, the crowd will be up for this one, as it’s a measuring stick spot for the suddenly decent Suns. I’ll grab the points with the Suns.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +8.5