Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 4/24/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder came into the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. They are now just two wins away from moving onto the second round after smashing the Grizzlies in a 118-99 home win on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 27 points, eight rebounds and five assists, Jalen Williams added 24 points with six rebounds and five assists while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 20 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 43 percent from the field and 15 of 45 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Grizzlies from the start and opened the game with a 15-4 run to take a double-digit lead. Before they opened the fourth quarter with a 14-2 run to pull away and win comfortably. 

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are now in danger of falling behind 3-0 in the series after getting trampled by the Thunder in a 118-99 road defeat on Tuesday. Jaren Jackson Jr led the team with 26 points, Ja Morant added 23 points with six assists while Desmond Bane chipped in with 19 points, 12 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 42 percent from the field and 10 of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the urgency of the Thunder from the start. They were always fighting an uphill battle after falling behind by double digits right at the start of the game. It wasn’t a complete blowout, as the Grizzlies trailed by single digits late in the third quarter, but they went cold and managed just 20 points in the fourth quarter to allow the Thunder off the hook in the end. 

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The home team has won each of the Grizzlies’ last seven playoff games.
• The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Grizzlies’ last 10 playoff games.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games against the Grizzlies following a win.
• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last nine games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games at FedExForum against teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 15 of their last 16 night games.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Desmond Bane ranks 8th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.4%) this season.
• Zach Edey ranks 8th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.9) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
• Luguentz Dort ranks 26th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.2%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Ousmane Dieng with a calf injury, while the Grizzlies are still missing Brandon Clarke and Jaylen Wells. The Grizzlies had their eyes on stealing home-court advantage before the series shifted to Memphis, but they got blown out twice and are now in real danger of suffering an early playoff exit if they don’t make some adjustments. The Thunder are yet to play their best game this series, but they haven’t had to, as they’ve enjoyed massive leads in Games 1 and 2. The Grizzlies will surely come out swinging in their biggest home game of the season, but I don’t think it will be enough to hold off the Thunder in this one.