Nov 7, 2025; Sacramento, California, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) meets with center Isiah Hartenstein (55) after a play against the Sacramento Kings in the third quarter at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images
Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Thunder Oklahoma City Grizzlies Memphis
Team Records 9-1 4-6
Spread -10.5 -112 +10.5 -108
Moneyline -520 +390
Total Over 233.5 (-118) Under 233.5 (-102)
Where FedExForum, Memphis, TN
When Sunday, November 9, 2025
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV FanDuel SN SE

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Memphis Grizzlies collide at the FedExForum on Sunday. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on fire as they’ve won nine of their first 10 games and they will be looking to stay hot after making light work of the Kings in a 132-101 road win on Friday. Isaiah Hartenstein led the team with 33 points and 19 rebounds on 14 of 17 shooting, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 30 points on 12 of 20 shooting while Ajay Mitchell chipped in with 18 points and 10 assists.

As a team, the Thunder shot 53 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they dominated early and always looked in control after pouring in 70 points in the first half. A total of six players finished in double figures in scoring and the starters were able to rest early with the game won by the third quarter. 

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been doing it tough lately as they were on a four-game losing streak before they took down the Mavericks in a 118-104 win on Friday. Ja Morant led the team with 21 points and 13 assists, Cedric Coward added 21 points with nine rebounds and four assists off the bench while Jaren Jackson Jr chipped in with 17 points on six of nine shooting. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Mavericks from the start and poured in 70 points in the first half to build a 35-point lead. This was more than enough to hold off a late charge from the Mavericks.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Thunder have lost each of their last four night games at FedExForum following a road win.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Thunder and Grizzlies.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 29 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 13 home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games following a win.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last five night games between the Thunder and Grizzlies have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the Thunder’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams and Aaron Wiggins with Luguentz Dort listed as questionable, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Zach Edey, Ty Jerome and Brandon Clarke again. The Thunder were able to bounce back from their first defeat of the season with a 31-point victory over the Kings on Friday. The Grizzlies were really struggling before they took advantage of a slumping Mavericks team in their last outing. The Grizzlies were able to battle the Thunder in two close meetings last season, but I don’t think they have enough firepower to hang with the Thunder this season. Morant has been off to start the season and a matchup with the Thunders’ defense won’t help that.

Peter Tran's Pick: Oklahoma City -10.5

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