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New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/2/25 NBA Picks

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Miami Heat (28-30) vs New York Knicks (39-20)

March 2, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +5.5 — Over/Under: 224.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Knicks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Sunday night. Here’s a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Pick.

New York Knicks Betting Preview

The New York Knicks have been in great shape as they’ve won 12 of their last 16 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after outlasting the Grizzlies in a thrilling 114-113 road win on Friday. Jalen Brunson led the team with 23 points, seven rebounds and six assists, OG Anunoby added 19 points, Miles McBride scored 17 points off the bench while Mikal Bridges chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Knicks shot 46 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start and trailed for most of the game. The Knicks snatched the lead with just 5.1 seconds left on the clock thanks to a clutch 3-point shot from OG Anunoby. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat haven’t been at their best as they’ve lost six of their last nine games, but they will be aiming for a third straight victory after outlasting the Pacers in a 125-120 home win on Friday. Tyler Herro led the team with 29 points and seven assists, Duncan Robinson added 20 points and five assists off the bench while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 18 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. As a team, the Heat shot a healthy 57 percent from the field and 17 of 32 from the 3-point line as they poured in 39 points in the second quarter to overcome an early 12-point deficit. The Heat went on a pivotal 13-0 run late in the third quarter to come away with the much-needed win at home. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last six home games on the first leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
  • The Knicks have lost seven of their last eight games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last four games.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The Knicks have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Heat have lost seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Heat’s last 11 games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Knicks’ last seven games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Knicks are expecting to have Josh Hart and Mitchell Robinson back from injury, while the Heat are missing Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jacquez Jr.. The Knicks have been one of the form teams of the league and they are clear favorites against the Heat who were really struggling before they won their last two games. This is a close one to pick, but with the line so short, I have to lean towards the more consistent Knicks. Who should be as healthy as they’ve been all season with Robinson and Hart now back in the lineup. Give me the Knicks to get the job done on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: New York -5.5

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