Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs meet Saturday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Bucks, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Jazz next. The Timberwolves have won 17 of their last 24 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 120.3 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 114.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.9 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.2 points and 5.7 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Thunder, beat the Bucks, and they play the Jazz next. The Spurs have won 27 of their last 42 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 118.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.3 points and 11.1 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 20.7 points and 5.8 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Timberwolves have lost each of their 11 previous night games at Frost Bank Center following a road loss.
• The Spurs have won each of their last seven night games against the Timberwolves following a home win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a home win.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last five games against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last seven games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Julian Champagnie is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
• Dylan Harper is one of only 16 players in the league to have recorded 10+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 4th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.9) this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (68.3%).
• The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.8).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.4).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

The Spurs will be without Devin Vassell.

The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr. and Anthony Edwards.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Timberwolves have won the last 5 games against the Spurs, so you can talk yourself into the points. The problem is the Timberwolves are on the end of a back to back and are still down their best player. The Spurs usually win games they’re supposed to win, and they’re at home where they’re 14-5 SU. The Timberwolves have dropped to 18-24 ATS on the season. Assuming Ant-Man is still out, the Spurs should cruise in this spot with the Wolves playing last night. I’ll lay the reasonable chalk with the Spurs.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5