Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11/26/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder do battle at the Paycom Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves have cooled off a bit recently as they are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the struggling Kings in a 117-112 overtime road loss on Monday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 43 points, seven rebounds and four assists on 16 of 29 shooting, Julius Randle tallied 17 points with 10 rebounds and five assists, Donte DiVincenzo chipped in with 17 points while Naz Reid contributed 15 points off the bench.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot just 41 percent from the field and 13 of 42 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control for most of the contest. Before they squandered a 12-point fourth quarter lead and they shot themselves in the foot with a personal take foul, costing the team an extra point at a crucial junction in overtime.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have continued their red-hot start to the season as they have now won 17 of their first 18 games overall. They will be aiming for a 10th straight victory after routing the Trail Blazers in a 122-95 home win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 37 points and seven assists on 13 of 18 shooting. Ajay Mitchell added 20 points on eight of eight shooting off the bench while Isaiah Joe chipped in with 10 points, but no other player scored more than eight points.

As a team, the Thunder shot 53 percent from the field and 15 of 36 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates. They dominated the first quarter by 39-18 to lead this one by as many as 36 points before they rested their starters early. 

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 11 home games.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Paycom Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents after coming off overtime.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last four games against the Thunder after losing as favorites.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last three games at Paycom Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• The Thunder are allowing just 97.0 points per 48 minutes while Alex Caruso are on the floor this season – lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.
• Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for FG% (67.6%) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (5.8) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels is one of only nine qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.8).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.4).
• The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (27.0).
• The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (55.6).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on the injury report, while the Thunder are still missing Aaron Wiggins, Nikola Topic and Jalen Williams and they have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander listed as questionable for this one. It’s hard to back against the Thunder given how well they’ve been playing this season (and last season), but they could be a little vulnerable here if Gilgeous-Alexander isn’t able to suit up for this one. This is definitely a game where you should check the lineups before tipoff, but assuming that SGA sits out, I will lean towards the Timberwolves to at least keep this one close at the end.

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota +8.5