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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 12/25/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 20-10 | 21-8 |
| Spread | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | Over 239.5 (-105) | Under 239.5 (-115) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Thursday, December 25, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ABC | |
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Knicks and Bucks, and they play the Nets next. The Timberwolves have won 10 of their last 12 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 118.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.5 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Jazz, lost to the Mavericks, and they play the Magic next. The Nuggets have won 23 of their last 32 regular season games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 125.2 points on 51.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 47 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.1 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 40.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last six games as home favorites.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ball Arena following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine night games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- The Nuggets are scoring 130.9 points per 48 minutes while Peyton Watson are on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
- Jamal Murray ranks 3rd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.7%) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Donte DiVincenzo has recorded seven games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Anthony Edwards is one of only four players in the league to have scored 30+ points in five straight games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.6%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.3).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (34.2).
- The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report
Christian Braun, Tamar Bates, and Aaron Gordon are out for the Nuggets. Cameron Johnson is questionable.
Jaden McDaniels and Joe Ingles are questionable for the Timberwolves.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets just haven’t been the same team at home this season, as it’s where 5 of their 8 losses have come. An ugly loss to the Mavericks wasn’t encouraging, and they could be without Cam Johnson, who left that game with injury. The Nuggets have been vulnerable as is with the injuries to Gordon and Braun. The Timberwolves have a knack for getting up for big games, and they’ve won 6 of the last 8 games against the Nuggets. The Timberwolves are 2-0 SU and ATS this month as an underdog. Give me the points with the Timberwolves.
