Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 12/25/24

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Dallas Mavericks (19-10) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (14-14)

December 25, 2024 at 02:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -5.5 — Over/Under: 227.5

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The Minnesota Timberwolves pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Christmas Day. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves 

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to have cooled off with three losses in a row and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting routed by the Hawks in a 117-104 road defeat on Monday. Naz Reid led the team with 23 points on 10 of 19 shooting, Julius Randle added 23 points with 13 rebounds and seven assists while Anthony Edwards chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 42 percent from the field and 14 of 43 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to claw their way back from an early 19-point deficit, only to see their hard work go to waste in the fourth quarter where they got outscored by 35-19 to lose big in the end. The Wolves will face the Rockets and Spurs following this one.

Dallas Mavericks 

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been on fire over the last three weeks as they’ve won 14 of their past 17 games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the Trail Blazers in a 132-108 home win on Monday. Luka Doncic led the team with 27 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists, Daniel Gafford added 23 points on seven of seven shooting off the bench while Kyrie Irving chipped in with 20 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 53 percent from the field and 12 of 36 from the 3-point line as they dominated the second quarter by 34-22 to take control of the contest, before they exploded for 40 points in the third quarter to push the lead out to 32 points. The Mavs will take on the Suns after this game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last five games following a home win.
  • The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games against Mavericks teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a home win.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 games against Southwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mavericks’ last six Wednesday games as home favorites has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Timberwolves’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Dereck Lively II ranks 9th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.
  • Klay Thompson ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.1) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Mike Conley ranks 12th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.1) this season.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 9th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.1).
  • The Mavericks rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.1).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for H2 opponent points per game this season (53.1).
  • The Timberwolves rank 28th in the league for turnover percentage this season (14.4%).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Timberwolves are still missing Joe Ingles and Daishen Nix, while the Mavericks are still missing Brandon Williams and they have Jaden Hardy listed as questionable. The Timberwolves come into this meeting desperate for a win as they’ve really gone cold over their past three games, but they’ve run into a red-hot Mavericks team who have been in a groove over the past three weeks. These teams last met on Nov 29 and it was the Mavericks who won by 120-114 I am expecting a similar result here with the Mavericks getting the win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Dallas -5.5

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