Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/28/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves split with the Warriors, lost to the Bulls, and they play the Thunder next. The Timberwolves have lost 5 of their last 6 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.6 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Warriors, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Mavs have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.2 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 2.8 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.8 points and 6.3 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last four night games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Timberwolves’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Max Christie ranks T6th amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.5%) this season.
• Dwight Powell is one of only 13 players in the league to have recorded 6+ steals in a game this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo ranks 12th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.4).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.1).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 win percentage this season (70.2%).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Dante Exum, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Anthony Davis. Moussa Cisse is doubtful. Cooper Flagg is questionable.

The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr. Leonard Miller and Anthony Edwards are questionable.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

We just saw the Timberwolves lose five straight games, so I’m not running to the window to lay chalk with them on the road. As I’ve said endless times, the Timberwolves play with their food way too often. The Timberwolves are also 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games when favorites of 5 or more points. The Timberwolves are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games when favorites of 5 or more points. I’m not doing it. Give me the Mavs and the free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +7.5