Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/12/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Milwaukee Bucks pay a visit to the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks are starting to heat up now, as they’ve won four of their last five games overall, and they will be eager to keep it going after taking down the Magic in a 116-108 road defeat last night. Cam Thomas led the team with 34 points on 12 of 20 shooting off the bench; Kevin Porter Jr. racked up a triple-double of 18 points with 10 rebounds and 11 assists, while Jericho Sims and Ousmane Dieng each scored 17 points.

As a team, the Bucks shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 36 from the 3-point line as they went back and forth with the Magic in a tightly contested first half. They couldn’t get any separation until late in the fourth quarter as they closed the final 1:44 on a 10-2 run to get some revenge and escape with the narrow road win. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in decent form lately, as they’ve split their last 10 games overall, and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the Suns in a 136-109 road win last night. Jalen Williams led the team with 28 points and five assists on 11 of 12 shooting from the field; Isaiah Joe drained six 3-pointers to finish with 21 points off the bench, while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 13 points.

As a team, the Thunder shot a sizzling 58 percent from the field and 15 of 36 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 75 points in the first half to lead by as many as 37 points. Before they pulled their starters early and allowed their reserves to run riot.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 45 of their last 47 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bucks have lost 21 of their last 22 games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Bucks’ last eight games.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Bucks’ last five games.
• The Thunder have lost four of their last seven games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last four games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bucks’ last five night games against the Thunder following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Bucks are still missing Ryan Rollins and Giannis Antetokounmpo, while the Thunder are still missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ajay Mitchell for this one. The Bucks have made the most of a light stretch in their schedule to string a few wins together, and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their revenge win over the Magic last night.

The Thunder haven’t been at their absolute best lately, as they are still missing their best player, but they looked great in their last two games, especially last night’s win over the Suns. Both teams are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, but the Thunder still open as favorites given how dominant they’ve looked in the past two wins. This is a tough one to pick given the hefty line, but the Thunder should still have more than enough firepower to get the easy win as long as they don’t look past the Bucks.

Peter Tran's Pick: Oklahoma City -12.5