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Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 4/6/25 NBA Picks

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New Orleans Pelicans (21-56) vs Milwaukee Bucks (43-34)

April 6, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New Orleans Pelicans +9 — Over/Under: 220.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and New Orleans Pelicans meet Sunday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Heat and 76ers, and they play the Timberwolves, Pelicans, and Pistons next. The Bucks have won three straight games and are the fifth seed in the East. 

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.9 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 112.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.4 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 24.9 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview 

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Clippers and Lakers, and they play the Nets, Heat, and Thunder next. The Pelicans have lost 12 of their last 16 games. 

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 24.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Boston is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The Bucks have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The home team has won six of the Pelicans’ last seven games.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pelicans have covered the spread in four of their last five games following a loss.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Bucks have won four of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pelicans’ last six night games at Smoothie King Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Fourteen of the Bucks’ last 16 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report 

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson, Jordan Hawkins, CJ McCollum, Kelly Olynyk, and Brandon Boston. Jose Alvarado is questionable. 

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Jericho Sims and Damian Lillard.

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

I’m not excited to lay this many points with the Bucks with them undermanned and on the end of a back-to-back with a game that included overtime. However, the Bucks are still fighting for playoff seeding, while the Pelicans aren’t putting out an NBA roster these days. The Bucks have won three straight games and have covered seven of their last nine games. The Bucks probably don’t want to drop to the sixth seed, so they’re going to play to win. The Pelicans have thrown in the towel on the season months ago. I’ll lay the points with the Bucks.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -9

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