Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction 11/26/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Milwaukee Bucks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall. They will be hoping to arrest a five-game losing streak after getting routed by the Trail Blazers in a 115-103 loss on Monday. Bobby Portis led the team with 22 points on nine of 15 shooting off the bench, Andre Jackson Jr added 16 points on eight of 12 shooting while Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Bucks shot just 44 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the Trail Blazers from the start. They trailed in this one by as many as 33 points before their bench players finished with a flurry to keep the final margin respectable. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been on a tear as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall. They will be eager to build on their current five-game win streak after sneaking past the Mavericks in a 106-102 home win on Monday. Tyler Herro led the team with 24 points on 12 of 18 shooting, Kel’el Ware added 20 points with 18 rebounds and three blocks while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 17 points and two blocks.

As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and a miserly five of 27 from the 3-point line, which aren’t impressive numbers, but they were able to execute when it mattered most. The scores were tied going into the final minute of the game before the Heat scored the final four points to get the win and improve to 8-1 at home this season. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won eight of their last nine home games.
• The Bucks have lost each of their last five games.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games.
• The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games at Kaseya Center following a home win.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Bucks and Heat at Kaseya Center.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against the Heat.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Bucks’ last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Heat’s last 12 games at Kaseya Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Kel’el Ware has recorded 11+ rebounds in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Bam Adebayo is one of only 13 qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• AJ Green ranks 9th amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.0%) this season.
• Ryan Rollins ranks 9th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (6.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.6%).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.8).
• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (188) this season.
• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points per game (10.4) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Bucks are still missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr and Taurean Prince, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jacquez Jr, Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith who are all questionable for this one. The Bucks have struggled without Antetokounmpo in the lineup and they are coming into this one fresh off a fifth straight defeat. Meanwhile, the Heat have been in terrific form and they look even better with Tyler Herro back in action. Sure, there is an injury cloud hanging over a few of the Heat’s players but the Heat are clearly the team playing better basketball at the moment and I think they take advantage of this slumping Bucks team.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -7.5