Nov 1, 2025; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) reacts after missing a shot late in the fourth quarter against the Sacramento Kings at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Milwaukee (4-2) vs Indiana (1-5)

November 3, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana +5.5 — Over/Under: +234.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks pay a visit to the Indiana Pacers at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks have begun the season in fine form, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Kings in a 135-133 home defeat on Saturday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 26 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists, Kyle Kuzma added 22 points on nine of 13 shooting off the bench while Gary Trent Jr and AJ Green each scored 17 points.

As a team, the Bucks shot a sizzling 59 percent from the field and 15 of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 47 points in the first quarter to take an early 15-point lead. However, they couldn’t maintain that hot start and allowed the Kings to slip away with 10 free throw attempts in the final quarter. 3:40.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers will be feeling much better as they were able to arrest a five-game slide with a 114-109 home win over the Warriors on Saturday. Aaron Nesmith led the team with 31 points, Pascal Siakam added 27 points on 12 of 23 shooting while Quenton Jackson tallied 25 points with 10 assists.

As a team, the Pacers shot 44 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the Warriors for most of the contest. They trailed by 11 points in the fourth quarter, before they clicked into gear and closed the final 5:46 on a 21-5 run to pull ahead and claim their first win of the season.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Bucks’ last five games.
  • The Bucks have lost nine of their last 10 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Bucks’ last five games.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won each of their last 12 Monday night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pacers have lost six of their last seven games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Bucks’ last 11 night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Pacers’ last five games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Bucks are still playing without Kevin Porter Jr, while the Pacers have ruled out Andrew Nembhard, Tyrese Haliburton, TJ McConnell and Bennedict Mathurin again. The Bucks have been one of the hottest teams in the league and they were playing great basketball before they fell just short to the Kings in a heartbreaking loss on Saturday. In contrast, the Pacers were absolutely ice-cold before they took down the Warriors in a surprise upset win in their last outing thanks to a big night from Aaron Nesmith.

The Pacers are capable of pulling off the upset at home if they play like they did on Saturday, but I prefer a play on the Bucks who have been the more consistent team so far. Antetokounmpo will carry the offensive load but I expect him to get plenty of support from Myles Turner who would love to play well against his former club.

Peter Tran's Pick: Milwaukee -5.5

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