Jan 2, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Bobby Portis (9) celebrates after a made 3 point shot against the Charlotte Hornets at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images
Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/7/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Milwaukee Bucks Golden State Warriors
Team Records 16-21 20-18
Where Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
When Wednesday, January 7, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV NBC Sports BA

The Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Hornets and Kings, and they play the Lakers next. The Bucks have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 113.1 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.9 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Jazz, lost to the Clippers, and they’ll play the Kings next. The Warriors have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.2 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 28.8 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.5 points and 5 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last 10 games at Chase Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Bucks have lost each of their last five games at Chase Center.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs following a win.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last three Wednesday games as home favorites.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last eight Wednesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Bucks teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Warriors’ last four night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Bucks’ last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Jimmy Butler has recorded 3+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (3.1) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Myles Turner is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of only two players to have recorded a 30-point, 20-rebound game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (29.7%).
  • The Warriors rank 30th for points in the paint per game (42.1) this season.
  • The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (421) this season.
  • The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points per game (11.7) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Seth Curry and LJ Cryer. Gary Payton II and Draymond Green are questionable.

The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Warriors have had consistency issues all season, and I’m not excited to back them in the favorite role, seeing Payton and Draymond listed as questionable. The Bucks have won 4 of their last 5 games, and they have a motivated Antetokounmpo leading the charge. The Warriors have failed to cover 7 of their last 10 games and are 15-21-1 ATS on the season. I’m just not excited to back the Warriors in the favorite role. It would surprise nobody if the Bucks won this game outright. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +6.5

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